BTCUSD Bull Pennant Formation

10 August, 2018

The Bitcoin price regained some of its lost value on Thursday following a small but noteworthy correction.

The BTC/USD pair yesterday established a new intraday low at 6131-fiat, a level that attracted buyers waiting to buy the dip, and has gained as much as 7% value ever since. The early Asian trading hours today witnessed a weak upside momentum, due to which price dropped towards 6181-fiat. However, in the mid-European session, the BTC/USD formed a bull flag following a sudden influx of buying orders. The pair gained 6 percent during the upside rally.

But, if one notices, the correction is as volatile as the fall was. We are still forming a baby ascending line at this moment that could fail to extend its stay – we are still in a downward trajectory. Let’s have a look at it in our technical analysis section.

BTCUSD Technical Analysis


As long holders, we decided to look into bear trajectory formation, indicating that the downside momentum is not decreasing, but intensifying. We are once again close to testing it and realizing a pattern of bulls leaving their long position near the trajectory resistance. If it breaks, the BTC/USD can push itself towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 6780-fiat. This could be also where bulls exit their long positions and cause a pullback.

As far as moving averages are concerned, the BTC/USD pair is still below its 50H, 100H, and 200H ones. The RSI and Stochastic, in the meantime, are in the selling area, awaiting further upside correction.

Overall, we are still in a strong bearish bias.

BTCUSD Intraday Analysis


We switched to a 15-minute timeframe for today’s analysis following the previous drop. Anyway, we were able to squeeze out a decent profit from our short position towards 6280-fiat. However, we also had to bear a small loss when our stop loss executed on a failed short position towards 6086-fiat. The bias reversed way before testing it as our primary downside.

As for today, we now have a new range defined by 6551-fiat as interim resistance and 6181-fiat as interim support. We are now consolidating sideways after finding a temporary base near 6419-fiat. If one notices, this consolidation is also a formation of a bullish pennant after the previous pole. With that said, we are first waiting for the price to break above the bear trajectory (explained above), which also coincides with our interim resistance. This would allow us to put a long towards 6630-fiat, our primary upside target.

A stop-loss two-pips below the entry point, in the meantime, will help us minimize our losses in case the price falls back inside the bear trajectory.

Looking south, we will put a short position towards 6181-fiat upon breaking below 6419-fiat. In this position, a stop-loss 2-pips above the entry point will define our risk.


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