EUR/USD: recovery in the pair is not expected in the near future

12 November, 2014

Current trend

The pair EUR/USD has shifted to consolidation phase near important support level of 1.2360. The main macro-economic European statistics will be released later; nevertheless investors do not believe that European economy will start to grow rapidly. The only catalyst for the upward movement is the fact that Euro is significantly oversold.

Attention today shall be paid to the data on industrial output in Eurozone, the volume of which is expected to increase. In addition, the speech of Mr Kocherlakota, a member of the US Open Market Committee can have impact on the movement in the pair. Tomorrow, key indices of Germany and France will become known and monthly economic report of ECB will be published.

Support and resistance

Poor data on industrial output in Eurozone can drop the pair to the local lows and the key support level of 1.2360. If European statistics continues to be negative and demand for the Euro decreases, the pair can fall to the lows of July 2012 at the level of 1.2040. Euro needs strong drivers in order to regain.

Support levels: 1.2450, 1.2400, 1.2360, 1.2300, 1.2260, 1.2150 and 1.2040.

Resistance levels:  1.2500, 1.2570, 1.2630, 1.2660, 1.2740 and 1.2770.

Trading tips

It makes sense to continue trading on the trend, placing pending sell orders from the levels of 1.2500 and 1.2570 and take profit at the level of 1.2360, and in the medium-term: at the level of 1.2040. In addition, it is advisable to open long positions from the strong support level and the local lows of the year 2012 with the short stop-loss.

Dmitry Likhachev

Analyst of LiteForex Investments Limited

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