EUR/USD overview for July 01, 2015

1 July, 2015

General overview

The euro is more than closed the Monday gap, however, a further upward trend is not so obvious as it seems. The inflation Weak data in Germany can not be expected to yield the eurozone CPI positive data. The "Greek debt" issue has not completely resolved yet and there is also a possibility of negative surprises. Athens will not be able to repay the debt of 1.55 billion, still traders agree that the IMF and the international rating agencies will not consider this step as a default. The consumer price index grew during the first summer month increased by 0.2% per annum.

The price closed the price gap of more than 200 points. The buyers did not stop raising rates even higher by 100 points. There was the resistance 1.1150 breakthrough and the level of 1.1260 testing on the increased volume. Then it were a rebound to the 1.1150 and its breakthrough.

The price is finding the first support at 1.1050, the next one is 1.0925. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.1150, the next one is at 1.1260.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen shows an upward movement and the Kijun-sen shows a horizontal movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is consolidating.

Trading recommendations

The approach to the level of 1.1050 may lead to a price rebound upwards. The potential rebound targets are the resistance level of 1.1150.


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