Last chance saloon for Greece

8 July, 2015

It looks like Greece has finally been given an ultimatum by its creditors in a last ditch attempt to save the country from leaving the Eurozone. A deal must be presented by Thursday with the deadline of Sunday to thrash out the details and agree on a new bailout. But given the Greek government’s approach to negotiations since it came to power in January, anything can happen in that time. The ECB has made it clear that their support for Greek banks will end next week and the Eurogroup has “a Grexit scenario prepared in detail” if a deal is not struck. The odds of a new deal being agreed are heavily stacked against the optimists, if indeed there are any optimists left. We can expect volatility to remain high going into the weekend and certainly next week if Grexit ensues.

Away from Greece today’s other important market events include the UK’s emergency budget and this evening’s FOMC minutes. Both could move the markets, in the case of the budget scrutiny will be given on the OBR’s growth forecasts given the deterioration of the situation in the Eurozone and proposed welfare cuts, which in turn could give insight into when that first rate hike from the Bank of England will come. The FOMC minutes have greater potential to move the dollar where investors will want to see how improved inflation prospects and wage growth might translate into greater potential for a September rate hike, but given the dovish bias to growth forecasts and external threats to the US economy that remain we feel September is too early for the Fed to make its first move.


Source link  
Fed Holds Rates for Now But...

Unsurprisingly, the Federal Reserve kept rates on hold following the end of its 2-day meeting on Wednesday. They did, however, indicate that...

UK Unemployment at 42 Year Low

UK unemployment fell to its lowest level since 1975, data on Wednesday revealed. Unemployment fell by 75K, bringing the unemployment...

US Equities at Record Levels

US equities closed at record levels on Wednesday, as improved risk-on sentiment returned to the markets and news that the US economy...


USD Stabilizes

Hurricane Irma has, reportedly, inflicted less damage on the US mainland than was originally predicted, thereby reducing the economic impact of the devastation it was expected to...

Markets on Edge

With the markets risk appetite dampened after North Korea’s most powerful nuclear test to date, USD and Global equities fell whilst Gold, Yen and Sovereign Bonds all rose....

Risk Appetite Returns

North Korea official news agency reported on Monday that leader Kim Jong Un will watch the actions of the United States for a while longer before making a decision to fire missiles at Guam...


US-Korean Tensions Rattle Markets

Markets were cautious on Wednesday, as safe-haven assets pushed higher after tensions grew between the US and North Korea. Markets are concerned...

Global Manufacturing Grows

Recent data releases have shown that global manufacturing saw an increase in July, further confirming global economic momentum has carried into H2...

All Eyes on Central Banks

Markets were, for the most part, little changed on Wednesday as traders waited for today’s Bank of Japan and ECB rate decisions. Earlier today...

  


Share: