Last nonfarm before Fed rate lift off?

4 September, 2015

The FOMC rate decision nears, now under two weeks away and it is still the view of many that today will be the last nonfarm payroll figure before the Federal Reserve commences its rate tightening cycle. In order to see the first hike in over nine years this month we will have to see a spectacular headline nonfarm payroll, which is expected to come in at 220k, at the same time it will help to see average earnings beat forecasts too with the Y on Y figure expected at 2.1%. The unemployment figure is expected to decline from 5.3% to 5.2% but these standalone figures are unlikely to settle the financial markets that have been severely rattled by the Chinese stock market bubble bursting.

Calls are coming far and wide from the IMF to emerging economies for the Fed to keep rates on hold and yesterday’s dovish ECB meeting will have been noted by Janet Yellen. US Treasuries are softer this morning as we head towards the release of the US employment data which has the potential to cause some volatility today and as we near September 17th more and more signs point to the Fed remaining on hold.


Source link  
US Jobless Claims Lowest Since 1973

US Department of Labor released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 13th that showed a resilient and stable labor market...

Politics Influence Markets

With fears abating surrounding the threat of Catalan independence, the EUR moved higher overnight. Catalan President Puigdemont stated...

US Unemployment at Lowest Level

On Friday, the US Department of Labour released Nonfarm Payrolls for September. The meagre forecast of 88K was beaten with an even worse...


Further Strong Data From the US

On Wednesday, the US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released Non-Manufacturing PMI for September that surprised the market...

Upbeat Data Boosts Dollar

On Monday, the US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released data showing the index of national factory activity surged to a reading...

Harvey & Irma Effects Still Evident

The EUR suffered a second day of selling pressure, as the markets are growing concerned that the rise in right wing nationalism witnessed...


Risk-On or Risk-Off?

The rhetoric continues between North Korea and the United States with North Korea’s Foreign Minister, Ri Yong Ho, describing President Trump’s recent comments as “tantamount...

German & New Zealand Elections

The results of the German Election have re-elected Chancellor Angela Merkel for a fourth term. Her CDU party won fewer votes than was expected and Chancellor Merkel...

Fed Holds Rates for Now But...

Unsurprisingly, the Federal Reserve kept rates on hold following the end of its 2-day meeting on Wednesday. They did, however, indicate that...

  


Share: