EM continues to wobble as FOMC approaches

8 September, 2015

The South African rand hit a landmark low against the dollar yesterday with USDZAR breaching the 14.00 level for the first time ever as the South African Reserve Bank maintains its stance on refusing to intervene and we approach the FOMC meeting next week. Whilst expectations for a rate hike from the Federal Reserve this month have been scaled back, the Chinese story continues to dominate, in particular for those countries such as South Africa that have a large export exposure to China. As Africa’s second largest economy continues to slow, the concoction of all these ingredients makes any upside for the rand hard to see, especially if the China story continues to show a rapidly slowing economy.

Today the US markets return after their Bank Holiday and the economic calendar is a little busier. This morning sees another reading of Q2 Eurozone GDP figures which are expected to confirm the block’s economy slowed from 0.4% growth in Q1 to 0.3% in Q2, but given that we know of the Euozone’s sluggish growth we’re unlikely to see any big moves in the euro unless the figure is worse than expected, which could lead to some weakness.


Source link  
US Jobless Claims Lowest Since 1973

US Department of Labor released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 13th that showed a resilient and stable labor market...

Politics Influence Markets

With fears abating surrounding the threat of Catalan independence, the EUR moved higher overnight. Catalan President Puigdemont stated...

US Unemployment at Lowest Level

On Friday, the US Department of Labour released Nonfarm Payrolls for September. The meagre forecast of 88K was beaten with an even worse...


Further Strong Data From the US

On Wednesday, the US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released Non-Manufacturing PMI for September that surprised the market...

Upbeat Data Boosts Dollar

On Monday, the US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released data showing the index of national factory activity surged to a reading...

Harvey & Irma Effects Still Evident

The EUR suffered a second day of selling pressure, as the markets are growing concerned that the rise in right wing nationalism witnessed...


Risk-On or Risk-Off?

The rhetoric continues between North Korea and the United States with North Korea’s Foreign Minister, Ri Yong Ho, describing President Trump’s recent comments as “tantamount...

German & New Zealand Elections

The results of the German Election have re-elected Chancellor Angela Merkel for a fourth term. Her CDU party won fewer votes than was expected and Chancellor Merkel...

Fed Holds Rates for Now But...

Unsurprisingly, the Federal Reserve kept rates on hold following the end of its 2-day meeting on Wednesday. They did, however, indicate that...

  


Share: