A binary Fed

25 September, 2015

Once again mixed messages from Janet Yellen have presented investors with a binary situation on interest rates in 2015. The impression the market has taken from her speech at the University of Michigan last night is that it’s more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will start its monetary tightening this year, however they are keeping the door open to maintaining rates at their historical lows in case the global picture worsens . This means that investors need to not only monitor US data very closely, but the situation across the other major economies in particular Asia. A case in point is Japan where overnight, as expected due to the big declines in energy prices, CPI data showed the world’s third largest economy falling back into deflationary territory. As a result Japanese stocks have enjoyed a strong bounce after softening initially and the Yen has weakened.

Today sees some potentially market moving data from the US in the form of GDP, then PMI figures, followed by Michigan Consumer Sentiment so it will be a busy day for the dollar, which is seeing a relatively strong start to the session. We mentioned resistance in EURUSD around 1.1280 and it reversed just above there with the rate trading at 1.1155 at the time of writing. USDJPY meanwhile is at 120.45 where a break of above 120.70 could see a test of 121.00/121.30.


Source link  
Trump's Tax Reform Plan

US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced Trump’s tax reform plan in a press conference...

Corporate Earnings Lift US Stocks

Last week the US President Trump stated on twitter...

Market Concerns Eased

The first-round voting of the French presidential election was revealed on Sunday night...


Dollar Plunged on Trump Second Statement

The dollar index fell to a 2-week low of 99.91 in the early hours...

Markets Eye on the First Trump-Xi Meeting

US President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping, are scheduled to meet today at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida...

Will the French Presidential Election affect EUR?

The first round of the French presidential election...


USD Firms Ahead of Q4 GDP Final Reading

The dollar index has rebounded noticeably from a 4-and-a-half-month low of 98.85, helped by outperforming...

Divergence Between Fed and BoJ

The March FOMC meeting will be held for two consecutive days from today. The interest rate decision will be announced at 18:00 GMT on Wednesday 15th March...

Market Volatility Expected Ahead of President Trump's Speech

In a speech that will be watched by millions of viewers in the United States and around the world, the President is expected to speak of his presidency and address pressing issues like his plans for health care, the tax system, the military, and his goals for his administration...

  


Share: