A binary Fed

25 September, 2015

Once again mixed messages from Janet Yellen have presented investors with a binary situation on interest rates in 2015. The impression the market has taken from her speech at the University of Michigan last night is that it’s more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will start its monetary tightening this year, however they are keeping the door open to maintaining rates at their historical lows in case the global picture worsens . This means that investors need to not only monitor US data very closely, but the situation across the other major economies in particular Asia. A case in point is Japan where overnight, as expected due to the big declines in energy prices, CPI data showed the world’s third largest economy falling back into deflationary territory. As a result Japanese stocks have enjoyed a strong bounce after softening initially and the Yen has weakened.

Today sees some potentially market moving data from the US in the form of GDP, then PMI figures, followed by Michigan Consumer Sentiment so it will be a busy day for the dollar, which is seeing a relatively strong start to the session. We mentioned resistance in EURUSD around 1.1280 and it reversed just above there with the rate trading at 1.1155 at the time of writing. USDJPY meanwhile is at 120.45 where a break of above 120.70 could see a test of 121.00/121.30.


Source link  
Markets recede from the recent highs

A strong Nonfarm Payrolls caused pressure on the stock markets, reducing the chances of the interest rates lowering by the Fed in the upcoming months...

Gold resumes rally, pushing past $1400

Gold prices resumed a push higher on Monday, as flows into the precious metal continued on improved prospects for easier monetary policy from...

Gold rises as markets slip

Market caution continues to support gold. Quotes of this metal rose to $1337, repeatedly trying to push above this year highs at the 1340-1360 area...


Trump says Brexit should happen

President Donald Trump promised the U.K. a "phenomenal trade deal" Tuesday, on the second day of his state visit to Britain...

Euro and Gold instead of Dollar

Gold rose on Monday to the highest levels since February, reaching $1327 per ounce. In the first hours of the Tuesday trading session, there...

Markets recover after the drop

The markets decline on investors' fears that trade conflicts will drag on and slow down demand, and this dynamic coincided with breaking through important...


Markets pressured by Huawei problem

Alphabet and some other American IT companies have suspended business with Huawei, which is one of the first examples of major consequences for...

The climate is changing rapidly

British people need to fly less, drive electric cars, eat little meat and turn their home thermostats down to 19 degrees Celsius (66 Fahrenheit) in order to rein...

Chinese stocks saw their worst week

Chinese stocks have taken investors on a ride this year. Shanghai and Shenzhen have been the best performing global markets this year, with the Shanghai...

  


Share it on:   or