UK GDP not the key for BOE

27 October, 2015

Today’s sees the first reading of Q3 GDP data in the UK and it is expected to dip to 0.6% from 0.7% in Q2. Recent manufacturing surveys have indicated that the sector is slowing and despite manufacturing making up only 10% of the UK economy, the pace of deceleration is starting to become a concern. The services sector, making up the vast proportion of the UK economy, has also seen survey data rapidly declining in the past three months and at the same time consumer confidence has dipped recently, a critical ingredient to the success of services. Today’s expected dip in growth will come as little surprise especially since the Eurozone recovery is struggling to gain traction, meaning UK the manufacturing and services sectors will continue to find the going tough. But a major concern for the BOE is the reemergence of a deflationary environment. With the exception of September’s 0.2% rise in month-on-month inflation the UK would officially be in a deflationary environment following negative readings in August and October. Sterling could come under pressure this morning especially if the GDP number is lower than expected. Later today there’s a raft of US data with durable goods, then the Markit services survey and finally consumer confidence expected to dip slightly and this release can often move the dollar.


Source link  
All Focus on US inflation data

The USD has weakened further overnight as the market awaits important US Data at 13:30 GMT. USDJPY broke down under 107.000, while...

Central Bank speakers start a quiet week

UK MPC Member Vlieghe spoke at the Resolution Foundation in London. Some of the comments made were: If there is less credit headwind to the UK economy...

Equities Face a Nervous Session

The global equity markets are bracing themselves for a stormy closing session this week, as data from Thomson Reuters Lipper unit shows US fund...


Super Thursday for the Bank of England

The Bank of England is expected to largely proceed as normal today on ‘Super Thursday’ when the central bank releases its policy decision and statement...

US Nonfarm Payrolls Today

Today is Non-farm Payrolls day in the US. This data release is generally one of the most important of the month, being a leading indicator of consumer...

Australian Dollar drops after soft data

The Australian dollar eased on Thursday following weaker-than-expected economic data. The Australian Dollar took an initial knock on Wednesday on...


Trump Supports a Strong Dollar

Markets have had a volatile session this week thanks to various US officials and yesterday was no exception, with President Trump speaking in Davos...

A Weaker Dollar is Good for the US

Yesterday, Senior US Officials took the lead from their President and made clear the US position on Trade. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross...

U.S. Government Shuts Down

The U.S. government shutdown over the weekend as the Senate failed to pass a bill to keep the funds flowing late on Friday. The Democrats are making...

  


Share: