Christmas rally comes late

23 December, 2015

The Christmas rally is coming later this year with European equities moving higher on today’s open, but we are still some way off seeing indices posting gains for the month. With a bounce in crude prices overnight, which look like for now to have found a bottom with support around the mid $30 level, the mining and energy sectors are benefitting from some bargain hunting. A shadow of their former selves these stocks have performed woefully throughout the year and where there’s any bounce in commodity prices there’s going to be a corresponding move in these sectors. Whilst the relationship between commodity prices and the Aussie is not as strong as it was, there is still a correlation and we’ve seen AUDUSD move up from the 0.7100 level this week, now sitting at 0.7245.

Today sees the final reading of UK GDP for Q3 which is due to confirm a reading of 0.5% so the impact on sterling is likely to be minimal, but there’s a lot of US data later in the form of durable goods, Michigan consumer sentiment and new home sales that could cause some movement in the dollar especially since volumes are likely to dwindle over the next two days. With GBPUSD being on the back foot recently this morning’s bounce to 1.4850 could be short lived if the US data is better than expected.


Source link  
USD Index Retesting Significant Lows

The Economic calendar for today is very light, with main events in focus for the European trading session concentrating around German PPI...

Economic calendar is relatively light

Today is Martin Luther King’s Birthday, which is a Bank Holiday in the United States. As a result, the Economic Calendar is relatively light today...

US Tax Bill passes

On Wednesday, the US Senate approved the tax bill 51 for and 48 against, while the House of Representatives gave it final approval, passing it for the second time in two days after...


US dollar 'treading water'

USD is treading water ahead of the expected enactment of President Trump’s tax bill. The initial euphoria of lower corporation tax, that many...

CB Monetary Policy Unchanged

Thursday saw the latest Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) report from the Bank of England. The BoE stated that further modest increases...

No Surprises as Fed Raises Rates

The Federal Reserve, as expected, raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point, to a range of 1.25% to 1.5%. The latest hike...


CB meetings dominate the week

With no impactful economic data releases on the calendar today, the markets are focusing on a plethora of Central Bank meetings scheduled...

No Surprises from BoC & ADP

In an unsurprising move, the Bank of Canada decided to hold its benchmark lending rate at 1%, after two small hikes earlier in 2017. The BoC stated...

Moderate Gains for USD

On Monday, the US Commerce Department released Factory Orders data for October, indicating that the continued strength in the Manufacturing...

  


Share: