Macro events & news for January 12, 2016

12 January, 2016

Macro events & news for January 12, 2016

FX News Today

Oil prices are pushing 12-year lows, trading below $31 bbl at the time of writing, as concerns about the global economy push traders into risk-off mode.

Commodity related currencies are under-performing the USD, with the AUD, NZD, and CAD all under pressure.

The U.S. Dow Jones stock markets closed higher on Monday, suggesting that the recent stock market sell off is starting to stabilize.

The EUR attempted to rally back over 1.0900, however failed to keep gains and fell back into the mid 1.08’s with the EURUSD lacking any meaningful direction without any market moving European economic data.

The economic calendar for today does not have any heavy data release on tap, apart from the GBP Industrial Production and the USD November JOLTS job opening survey.

Main Macro Events Today

• GBP U.K. November Industrial Production: Analyst expected a rise of 0.1% m/m, actual missed , and came in lower at -0.4%.

• USD Fed’s Stanley Fischer to Speak: No commentary

• EUR ECB speak from Praet and Lautenschlaeger: On January 6, 2016 Praet said the following “the ECB stands ready to take all measures that are necessary to bring inflation to 2%. If you print enough money you will always get inflation. Always”. “But if oil and commodities prices tumble, it is more difficult to allow inflation to rise. If a whole series of such factors occur, you can’t do anything other than somewhat postpone the data on which you seek to reach the higher rate of inflation”. “The emergence of bubbles is a justified concern”.


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FOMC said inflation will rise to 2% over the medium term

Asian stock markets mostly headed south ( Nikkei closed own -1.22% at 18, 914) ongoing concerns about am emerging global trade war, and as the dollar weakened after the Fed failed to signal a rate hike as early as March, which some expected after yesterday’s data round...

Asian markets were mixed overnight

US data reports: revealed modest shortfalls across the Q4 ECI data and the January figures for consumer confidence and Chicago PMI, though the shortfalls did nothing to change the outlook for GDP growth of 2.0% in Q1 after a 1.9% Q4 rise. A 0.5% Q4 U.S...

The selloff in equities continued in Asia overnight

The U.S. income report revealed a 0.3% December income rise after a small November boost that tracked assumptions, but a firm 0.5% consumption increase with a solid 0.3% real rise that modestly beat estimates...


Politics will remain omnipresent near term

This week’s heavy data slate is loaded with key releases, headlined by Friday’s January nonfarm payroll report. Jobs are forecast rising 190k after the disappointing 156k December increase...

Main Macro Events This Week

President Trump has his feet under the desk in the Oval office and the tone of his inaugural speech and actions over the weekend reiterated his campaign themes to Make America Great Again...

U.S. reports revealed a hefty 0.8% December industrial production

Asian stock markets traded mixed, with Japan and ASX moving higher, as Fed’s Yellen said she expects to hike rates few times a year through 2019 to 3% neutral rate...


Stock markets headed south in Asia overnight

Trump conducted a test of the intelligence community by having a meeting with those agencies without letting any of his staff know and news of that meeting was subsequently leaked, he said...

The year is only a week old

Though the December U.S. jobs report was largely plain vanilla, it was good enough to support rising animal spirits. The surprise headliner of the report, however, was the 0.4% surge in earnings, which caught the markets attention...

US stocks had a quiet day

USD fell back again overnight. Canada, Australia, New Zealand and Hong Kong are all back from the extended Christmas holiday, but trading volumes are likely to remain thin for the rest of the week...

  


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