Adding more risk

9 March, 2016

There are a couple of central bank decision to watch today, primarily Canada at 15:00 GMT. The Canadian economy has gone through a rough ride recently, with recent indicators suggesting some stabilisation, but concerns remain and the market is pricing the risk (around one-third) that rates are cut this year. The recent reversal of the currency is also a factor likely to be discussed at the meeting today, given the Canadian dollar is nearly 10% higher vs. the US dollar from the USDCAD highs seen in January. This makes it the strongest major over this period, but the recovery is not surprising given the changes to the risk environment and oil price over this period. It’s going to be the tone of the statement that determines the currency reaction. For New Zealand, the scope for a near-term move is a lot less, although there are a couple of institutions in the market thinking that they will cut rates from the current 2.25%, so it’s worth keeping an eye on the outcome.

Eslewhere, we are seeing a modest bid on the dollar at the start of the European session, with this being seen most notable on the risk currencies, such as the Aussie, which is pushing towards the 0.75 level. On the other side, USDJPY hardly moving. The single currency is more reluctant to join in ahead of tomorrow’s crucial ECB meeting, where further policy measures are expected.


Source link  
Market shows demand for yielding assets

The market shows demand for yielding assets, which in turn supports demand for the stocks and currencies of emerging markets. The main...

Yuan and Dollar as a weapon in trade wars

The US Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday could even be called boring: the report showed the preservation of a completely healthy labour market...

Disappointment with Fed and tariffs

Trump announced 10% tariffs on Chinese goods worth $300 billion since September 1, thus ending the US-China trade truce after disappointingly...


Fed pushes down stocks

Markets have started the week under pressure. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 points in July collapsed...

Gold updates new 6-years highs

Gold benefits from a combination of two factors: lower interest rates in debt markets and continuing hopes that the global economy...

Markets recede from the recent highs

A strong Nonfarm Payrolls caused pressure on the stock markets, reducing the chances of the interest rates lowering by the Fed in the upcoming months...


Gold resumes rally, pushing past $1400

Gold prices resumed a push higher on Monday, as flows into the precious metal continued on improved prospects for easier monetary policy from...

Gold rises as markets slip

Market caution continues to support gold. Quotes of this metal rose to $1337, repeatedly trying to push above this year highs at the 1340-1360 area...

Trump says Brexit should happen

President Donald Trump promised the U.K. a "phenomenal trade deal" Tuesday, on the second day of his state visit to Britain...

  


Share it on:   or