15 March, 2016
The US Dollar posted a recovery across the board with the Euro and the British Pound declining against the Greenback. US economic data is due later today with retail sales and PPI numbers which could be the main risk ahead of the FOMC meeting tomorrow. EURUSD has continued to decline following the test to 1.12 last week with 1.10 – 1.09 coming in as the next support level of interest.
EURUSD Daily Analysis
EURUSD (1.11): EURUSD has declined for the second day following the brief test to 1.12 which saw prices being rejected strongly with a decline back to 1.10 being very likely. The Stochastics on the 4-hour chart is currently moving close to the oversold levels pointing to a short-term correction. If prices continue to hover near the 11105 - 1.113 levels of resistance, another possible leg to the upside could see prices attempt to test the previous highs. Below 1.10 handle, EURUSD could see a decline to as low as 1.095 - 1.093 support.
USDJPY Daily Analysis
USDJPY (113.3): USDJPY is currently declining but the overall price action remains flat above the 112 support. Resistance near 114.7 - 114.35 is likely to see a test while prices continue consolidating above the 112.5 support. A breakout above 114.7 could open up a test to 117 while to the downside, below 112.50 the lower support at 111.31 will be in focus.
GBPUSD Daily Analysis
GBPUSD (1.42): GBPUSD has been declining following the test to 1.443. Support at 1.4025 - 1.40 will be in focus in the near term if the declines continue. GBPUSD has also broken the trend line and a possible test back to the resistance levels near 1.435 - 1.43 could see resistance being established firmly at this level for a test down to 1.4025 - 1.40. Above 1.435 - 1.43 GBPUSD could see the bullish momentum push the Cable towards 1.46 where the next main resistance comes in.
Gold Daily Analysis
XAUUSD (1230): Gold prices have cleared the 1250 support and the declines will continue pushing Gold lower to the 1200 handle. On the 4-hour chart, prices have dipped to 1230 - 1225 support. If this support level holds, another test back to 1250 to establish resistance on this broken support level could confirm the declines towards 1200.
The U.S. dollar fell sharply across the board yesterday after the U.S. President Trump in an interview...
The U.S. dollar lost ground yesterday amid a slow trading day with lack of any clear catalysts for the markets. The speech by Janet Yellen did not offer anything new for the markets...
Mexico's inflation is likely to be boosted higher as the government announced that it would be hiking fuel prices by nearly one-fifth from January. The government said that fuel price ceilings will be capped between 14.2% - 20% above December's prices...
The Institute of Supply Management's Purchase Managers Index data is one of the most widely watched indicators. It is considered to be a leading indicator which gauges the strength in the U.S. manufacturing sector...
A fairly quiet Monday saw USDJPY retreating from its recent highs ahead of the big events this week. USDJPY has retraced its gains and now trades just above the support level of 104. The markets look to another slow day today with no major events on the tap, leaving the bulk of trading on the technical aspects...
A quiet economic calendar today ahead of the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week could keep prices fairly flat. The US dollar looks well supported moving into the FOMC meeting first which could keep the euro subdued...
The Bank of England's decision to hold monetary policy steady saw the GBP surge against the US dollar, clearing 1.32 with 1.36 now coming into focus...
Political developments in Japan and the UK saw the respective currencies react in the positive. While the GBP managed to close bullish on news that Theresa May is likely to be the new PM...
Markets were trading cautiously yesterday after the initial positive sentiment flipped led by declines in Oil. ADP payrolls report yesterday showed 172k jobs being added to a better than expected jobless claims as well...