The faltering dollar

22 March, 2016

Sterling was suffering more than most yesterday, not impressed with weekend political developments, with the ever-present ‘Brexit’ cloud also hanging over it. Given these themes, the inflation data (released 09:30 GMT) will likely be of secondary interest, unless we see a major outlier from the expected small nudge higher in the YoY rate from 0.3% to 0.4%. The interest rate market remains more inclined towards a cut rather than hike in rates at the present moment in time, although with risk only priced around 10% towards the end of the year. We also see government borrowing figures published at the same time, which will perhaps be of greater interest given the ongoing discussions and changes being seen in the wake of last week’s budget.

After a two day turn-around, the dollar is weaker overnight even after comments from two Fed officials (Williams and Lockhart) suggesting that the next move could come as early as April. But both these are non-voting member this year, so the market took their comments with a degree of scepticism. Elsewhere, the single currency will be watching the latest PMI data early on, with provisional data for April released. In overnight trading, then yen has been the standout, weakening further against the dollar and pulling USDJPY away from the 110.67 low of late last week. With the week shortened by the Easter holiday on Friday (in some countries), trading is likely to remain on the choppy side as market liquidity falls below normal levels.


Source link  
Market Concerns Eased

The first-round voting of the French presidential election was revealed on Sunday night...

Dollar Plunged on Trump Second Statement

The dollar index fell to a 2-week low of 99.91 in the early hours...

Markets Eye on the First Trump-Xi Meeting

US President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping, are scheduled to meet today at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida...


Will the French Presidential Election affect EUR?

The first round of the French presidential election...

USD Firms Ahead of Q4 GDP Final Reading

The dollar index has rebounded noticeably from a 4-and-a-half-month low of 98.85, helped by outperforming...

Divergence Between Fed and BoJ

The March FOMC meeting will be held for two consecutive days from today. The interest rate decision will be announced at 18:00 GMT on Wednesday 15th March...


Market Volatility Expected Ahead of President Trump's Speech

In a speech that will be watched by millions of viewers in the United States and around the world, the President is expected to speak of his presidency and address pressing issues like his plans for health care, the tax system, the military, and his goals for his administration...

Gold Trades Below Resistance Ahead of the Fed and NFP

We will see the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, and ISM Prices Paid for January, at 15:00 GMT on Wednesday 1st February...

Sterling Struggles Ahead of Theresa May's Speech

Theresa May will make a speech outlining her plans for Brexit tomorrow, Tuesday 17th Jan, before the UK triggers Article 50 to leave the EU...

  


Share: