17 May, 2016
After a slow start to the week, the pace of economic data increases with UK and US inflation data due for release. GBPUSD is making some steady gains in early trading ahead of the monthly inflation report while gold prices remained mixed in yesterday's trading. The EURUSD was subdued in yesterday’s trading, but that could change when the markets open today.
EURUSD Daily Analysis
EURUSD (1.13): EURUSD was little changed in yesterday's trading with the single currency finding support above 1.30. On the 4-hour chart, price action remains rather flat with in the process of forming a bullish divergence, which could see a possible move to 1.138 - 1.140 initially. Further upside above 1.140 looks bleak at this point unless price closes above 1.140 in which case, a move to 1.14975 is more possible. In the near term, EURUSD remains range bound within 1.1380 resistance and 1.12695 support.
USDJPY Daily Analysis
USDJPY (108.9): USDJPY is trading flat for five consecutive days with price action heading nowhere. Trading above 107.95 the bias remains to the upside for a move to 110.67 resistance to the upside ahead of 109.35 - 109.73 levels. On the 4-hour chart, USDJPY continues to show the bearish divergence which could see a correction towards 107.36 support.
GBPUSD Daily Analysis
GBPUSD (1.44): GBPUSD closed bullish yesterday and is already making some early gains having moved above 1.4425 level. Resistance is seen near 1.4535 which could cap the gains in the near term, but a move to 1.4635 cannot be ruled out. To the downside, 1.4312 - 1.43 remains the support level of interest.
Gold Daily Analysis
XAUUSD (1279): Gold closed in a doji yesterday after testing the highs above 1288. But with prices trading below the 1291 - 1289 resistance level, the bias remains to the downside. A break of the current support near 1273 - 1271 could see further downside in gold for a test of 1262 - 1258 levels ahead of the key 1250 support.
The common currency which had fallen sharply over the past few weeks and was eventually seen hovering above the support level of 1.1540 level was seen...
The U.S. dollar fell sharply across the board yesterday after the U.S. President Trump in an interview...
The U.S. dollar lost ground yesterday amid a slow trading day with lack of any clear catalysts for the markets. The speech by Janet Yellen did not offer anything new for the markets...
Mexico's inflation is likely to be boosted higher as the government announced that it would be hiking fuel prices by nearly one-fifth from January. The government said that fuel price ceilings will be capped between 14.2% - 20% above December's prices...
The Institute of Supply Management's Purchase Managers Index data is one of the most widely watched indicators. It is considered to be a leading indicator which gauges the strength in the U.S. manufacturing sector...
A fairly quiet Monday saw USDJPY retreating from its recent highs ahead of the big events this week. USDJPY has retraced its gains and now trades just above the support level of 104. The markets look to another slow day today with no major events on the tap, leaving the bulk of trading on the technical aspects...
A quiet economic calendar today ahead of the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week could keep prices fairly flat. The US dollar looks well supported moving into the FOMC meeting first which could keep the euro subdued...
The Bank of England's decision to hold monetary policy steady saw the GBP surge against the US dollar, clearing 1.32 with 1.36 now coming into focus...
Political developments in Japan and the UK saw the respective currencies react in the positive. While the GBP managed to close bullish on news that Theresa May is likely to be the new PM...