Reasons to be cheerful

25 July, 2016

The overall mood in markets at the start of the week appears to be pretty positive. Equities are again close to new highs in the US, whilst bond yields have backed up from the recent lows. The message appears to be that things aren’t as bad as perhaps everyone feared. This is also seen beyond the US, with broader share indices also at new highs for the year and bond yields moving tentatively up from the lows seen earlier this month. Despite this, the data in the run up to the Bank of England meeting early in August could change this as we start to get the first true readings of the health of the post-vote economy.

Both the US Fed and Bank of Japan meet this week. The Fed decision on Wednesday is all about the subtle shifts in the statement and whether there are any further signs of intended tightening later this year. The BoJ has more scope to bring volatility to markets, given the greater likelihood of some policy action either on rates or asset purchase programs. The market is positioned for some action on both as a means to boost the flagging Japanese economy. The yen has been weakening for most of the past two weeks, although a more consolidative tone has been seen over the past week. The BoJ’s ability to influence the yen for this year has been severely limited though, so it’s not necessarily the case that greater than expected policy action will weaken the currency on a sustained basis. For today, the data calendar is very much on the light side, so trading ranges are likely to be on the tight side ahead of the central bank meetings later this week.


Source link  
USD Suffers on Subpoena News

The Trump Administration is back in the spotlight with news of a report that Special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigators have issued a subpoena...

Positive data negated by tax plan opposition

The US Labor Department released data on Wednesday showing the consumer price index edged up by 0.1% in October after climbing by 0.5%...

Data Boosts EUR Can CPI Boost USD?

EUR received a boost on Tuesday, as data from Destatis showed German Preliminary GDP climbed to 0.8% in Q3, beating forecasts of 0.6%. In addition...


Chinese Data Disappoints

China’s economy has been robust throughout 2017 as a continued recovery in manufacturing and industrial sectors, a healthy property market...

Data & Polls Pressure Sterling

Sterling suffered downward pressure on Tuesday as the latest monthly report from the British Retail Consortium showed non-food sales slumping...

Closing the Year on a Strong Note

Data released on Monday indicates that the Eurozone economy is on target to close out 2017 strongly. The latest Markit composite PMI fell...


Sterling Falls on Rate Rise

In line with market expectations, the Bank of England raised the UK base rate to 0.5% (from 0.25%) on Thursday. The rise, the first in 10 years, was widely...

Another Political Headache for Trump

USD gave up some of its recent gains on news that investigators had charged President Trump’s former campaign manager regarding...

US Jobless Claims Lowest Since 1973

US Department of Labor released Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 13th that showed a resilient and stable labor market...

  


Share: