Crunch time for oil

30 November, 2016

Today is all about oil prices, which were particularly nervous yesterday ahead of the today’s formal meeting of OPEC members in Vienna. The desire to cut production appears to be there, but it’s all about how it is delivered, with some members more flexible than others. The oil price will remain volatile on this last day of the month. Talk is that they want to freeze production around 32.5m to 33m barrels per day. If we see something towards the lower end or below that range, then oil prices will rise as a result.

Beyond oil, it’s about the correction we’ve seen on the dollar. The factors that have pinned its rally largely remain in place, but it’s not surprising that we’re seeing some correction given the extent of one-way traffic on the currency. So far today we’ve seen a fairly steady tone emerge during the Asia session, the dollar index marginally firmer after what has been four days of corrective activity. Attention is turning more strongly to the euro ahead of the weekend referendum in Italy on constitutional reform, which could see greater political instability emerge in the coming days and weeks should the Italian PM not get his way. The result is priced in to a fair degree, so the single currency is not going to fall out of bed as a result, but it has the potential to eat away at sentiment over the coming weeks. Before then, it’s Friday’s US jobs numbers that are the main focus, but volatility potential is lowered by the fact that a December rate hike is priced in and it’s expectation on fiscal policy that have been driving the dollar higher.


Source link  
Markets recede from the recent highs

A strong Nonfarm Payrolls caused pressure on the stock markets, reducing the chances of the interest rates lowering by the Fed in the upcoming months...

Gold resumes rally, pushing past $1400

Gold prices resumed a push higher on Monday, as flows into the precious metal continued on improved prospects for easier monetary policy from...

Gold rises as markets slip

Market caution continues to support gold. Quotes of this metal rose to $1337, repeatedly trying to push above this year highs at the 1340-1360 area...


Trump says Brexit should happen

President Donald Trump promised the U.K. a "phenomenal trade deal" Tuesday, on the second day of his state visit to Britain...

Euro and Gold instead of Dollar

Gold rose on Monday to the highest levels since February, reaching $1327 per ounce. In the first hours of the Tuesday trading session, there...

Markets recover after the drop

The markets decline on investors' fears that trade conflicts will drag on and slow down demand, and this dynamic coincided with breaking through important...


Markets pressured by Huawei problem

Alphabet and some other American IT companies have suspended business with Huawei, which is one of the first examples of major consequences for...

The climate is changing rapidly

British people need to fly less, drive electric cars, eat little meat and turn their home thermostats down to 19 degrees Celsius (66 Fahrenheit) in order to rein...

Chinese stocks saw their worst week

Chinese stocks have taken investors on a ride this year. Shanghai and Shenzhen have been the best performing global markets this year, with the Shanghai...

  


Share it on:   or