Another Political Headache for Trump

31 October, 2017

USD gave up some of its recent gains on news that investigators had charged President Trump’s former campaign manager regarding the investigation of Russian interference in last year’s US Presidential Campaign. Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort and another aide, Rick Gates, were both charged with money laundering on Monday. It was also announced on Monday that Former Trump advisor, George Papadopoulos, pleaded guilty in early October to lying to the FBI. The indictment of Manafort & Gates includes accusations of conspiracy against the United States, failure to report foreign bank accounts to the US government and conspiracy to launder money, a count that carries a 20-year maximum prison sentence. U.S. Justice Department Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s 5-month investigation into alleged Russian efforts to tilt the election in Trump’s favor and into potential collusion by Trump aides has Trump claiming the probe “a witch hunt” and, as we have come to expect from Trump, he also commented on Twitter: “Sorry, but this is years ago, before Paul Manafort was part of the Trump campaign. But why aren’t Crooked Hillary & the Dems the focus?????”. Once again political turmoil is haunting Trump at a critical time for his administration, as they look to pass a tax reform bill and await Trump’s selection of the next Fed Chair.

It appears that Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell is the first choice of President Trump to be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, according to an unnamed senior official. Powell is a Republican centrist who is likely to continue the Fed’s strategy of gradual interest rate hikes but may also be open to easing some regulations on banks. Powell, 64, has consistently backed Janet Yellen’s plan to hike rates slowly to head off a potential surge in inflation without disrupting an economic recovery that remains in a fragile state. An unnamed senior administration commented that “Trump hasn’t made a final decision and could change his mind” and also commented that “an announcement is scheduled for Thursday”.

At 06:30 GMT, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda will give a press conference to the markets regarding monetary policy. He will comment on the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and clues regarding future monetary policy in Japan.

At 10:00 GMT, Eurostat will release a host of Eurozone Data: GDP (YoY & QoQ) for Q3, CPI & CPI Core (YoY) for October and the Unemployment Rate for September. Unemployment is forecast to have dropped to 9.0% from August’s 9.1%. CPI-Core is expected to come in at 1.2% slightly lower than the previous release of 1.3% with CPI forecast at 1.4% from 1.5%. Annualized GDP is forecast to come in slightly higher at 2.4% from the previous release of 2.3%. The quarterly GDP is expected to come in at 0.5%, slightly lower than the previous release of 0.6%. The markets will be looking for any significant deviation from the forecasts which will likely cause EUR volatility.

At 19:30 GMT, Bank of Canada Governor Poloz is scheduled to appear before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance in Ottawa. He will be accompanied by Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins.


Source link  
Peaked trade optimism?

Throughout the past week, the US dollar has received support after strengthening expectations that the Fed will take an extended break after three consecutive rate cuts...

Russel 2000 doesn't support S&P500 optimism

S&P500 closed Monday at historical highs, adding 0.55% on the day close. Both expected new Fed interest rates cut and possible...

Oil drops on weak corporate data out of China

Oil prices fell on Monday after strong gains last week, as data released in China reinforced signs that its economy is slowing, though progress...


Market Sentiment Hinging On Progress In Brexit

The British parliament will vote on the Brexit agreement today at 18:00 GMT. In theory, this should be a simple vote, with a definite...

Market shows demand for yielding assets

The market shows demand for yielding assets, which in turn supports demand for the stocks and currencies of emerging markets. The main...

Yuan and Dollar as a weapon in trade wars

The US Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday could even be called boring: the report showed the preservation of a completely healthy labour market...


Disappointment with Fed and tariffs

Trump announced 10% tariffs on Chinese goods worth $300 billion since September 1, thus ending the US-China trade truce after disappointingly...

Fed pushes down stocks

Markets have started the week under pressure. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 points in July collapsed...

Gold updates new 6-years highs

Gold benefits from a combination of two factors: lower interest rates in debt markets and continuing hopes that the global economy...

  


Share it on:   or