News of the day for June 12, 2014

June 12, 2014

Today, market participants will wait for the data on volume of industrial output in Eurozone for April, as well as US statistics on retail sales.

Volume of industrial output is one of the main indicators of the economic situation. Since September last year this indicator has been growing slowly, but steadily; however in March the index fell by 0.1%. It is expected that in April this index will grow both on monthly and annual basis (by 0.4% and 0.9% respectively). The growth of the volume of industrial output can provide support to European currency; however, it is unlikely that Euro will strengthen significantly against its main counterparts, especially after the decision to ease monetary policy, adopted by ECB.

Another important event is the release of the US retail sales statistics for May. This index has been growing for the last three months. The increase in consumer spending and demand has a positive impact on the industrial production and the state of the American economy as a whole. According to the forecast total volume of the American retail sales will grow by 0.6% in May. The same index excluding sales of the cars will increase by 0.4%.

Based on the fundamental data it is expected that today the currency pair EUR/USD will rise up to the level of 1.3560. After that the pair will start to go down to the levels of 1.3520, 1.3500 and 1.3470.


Direction Up

Recommendation  Buy

Entry Point  1.3535

Take Profit  1.3560

Stop Loss 

Key Levels 1.3560, 1.3520, 1.3500, 1.3470.

Recommendation  Sell

Entry Point  1.3560

Take Profit  1.3470

Stop Loss 

Key Levels 1.3560, 1.3520, 1.3500, 1.3470.

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