Forecast for the week 04.08.2014 - 08.08.2014

4 August, 2014

According to last week's results, it became known about the July deceleration of business activity in the industrial sectors of the eurozone, Britain, Japan, which is probably due to the introduction of sanctions against Russia by these countries.

This week a meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the ECB and the Bank of England was held. It is expected that the regulators will keep key interest rates at the levels of 2.50%, 0.15% and 0.50%, respectively. The data on the labor market in Australia may put pressure on the Aussie on Thursday, which may cause the Australian to test the 0.9250 mark. The single European currency could once again come down to the 1.3365 level, if the statistics on industrial output in the 3 largest eurozone economies - Germany, France and Italy, as well as the June data on retail sales in the euro zone will be worse than expected. In the case of the projected decline from 2.3% to 1.5% in annual growth rates of industrial production in the UK, the pound may be testing the 1.6750 mark.

During the week, the USD/JPY pair is likely to continue to consolidate itself in the range of 102.20 -103.00 against the background of the weak July data for the labor market in the United States, which has intensified the uncertainty of the time-frame for increasing the key interest rates in this country. 


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