14 May, 2015
The main driver of yesterday’s movement in the market was poor data on the US retail sales for April. This index (which shows the changes in the volume of retail sales) was below the forecast, as it fell to 0.0% against expectations of 0.2%. Retail sales index excluding sales of the automobiles amounted to 0.1% against the forecast of 5%.
Some important British news was also released yesterday: in the monthly inflation report, the Bank of England has downgraded forecast of GDP growth from 2.7% to 2.4% for 2016 and from 2.9% to 2.6% for 2017. The timing of the interest rate increase was rescheduled for the mid-2016. After the release of the report by the British regulator, the Pound fell to 1.5647, and later reached the level of 1.5633, amid the American news. Nevertheless, by the end of the day the pair GBP/USD has regained lost positions rising up to 1.5743.
At today’s Asian session the USD declined versus all major currencies, and after breaking down resistance level of 1.5750, the pair GBP/USD is traded at the level of 1.5780. It is expected that the pair will move in the uptrend, as there is no important news scheduled for the release on Thursday.
Support and resistance
The indicator OsMA also suggests buy positions (rising histogram in the daily timeframe). Stochastic and trend indicator of the green color shows long positions on D1.
However, it is worth paying attention to the daily chart of the cross-pair EUR/GBP, where the Pound is declining against the USD. Therefore, it is recommended to open buy positions if the pair GBP/USD rebounds to the levels of 1.5750, 1.5725 or 1.5700. The nearest targets can be at the levels of 1.5800 and 1.5900 (Fibonacci 50%). The signal of the completion of the downtrend and development of the uptrend is the breakdown of Fibonacci level of 38.2% (1.5595). In case of the uptrend the pair will be targeted at the level of 1.6200. As an alternative scenario we can consider the decline in the Pound to 1.5595 (Fibonacci 38.2%) or further down to 1.5540 (ÅÌÀ200). After breaking down EMA144 (1.5380) the Pound can continue downtrend.
Resistance levels: 1.5750, 1.5900, 1.6000 and 1.6160.
Support levels: 1.5595, 1.554 and, 1.5380.
It is preferable to place buy orders with the nearest targets of 1.5800, 1.5850 and 1.5900. However, it is better to enter into long positions at the rebound to the levels of 1.5750, 1.5725 or 1.5700. Sell positions with the targets of 1.5540 and 1.5440 are advisable after breakdown of the level of 1.5595.
Since December 2015 the index S&P500 has been in the downtrend. In February, the index fell to the level of 2108.0, which is almost 15%. In the past 4 sessions the index had adjusted, approaching the level of 1935.0...
On the 4-hour chart, the price is testing the level of 1210.80 (23.6% correction); the ascending 38.2% fan line is an additional resistance for the price. If this resistance area is overcome, a growth would continue to 1224.90 and 1249.25...
Yesterday, the price of silver fell to last Thursday’s opening levels, when a new local low since the end of October 2015 was reached. Prices of commodity assets are falling as risk appetite is gradually returning to the market...
Yesterday the pair showed choppy trade and closed at its opening level. The price was pressured by growth in the European stock markets and Fed Chair Janet Yellen testimony before the US Congress...
The Company ranks 23th on capitalization in the finance sector among the Issuers, trading in the American stock market. On 22 January the company reported for Q4 of the fiscal year of 2015. The company has been demonstrating negative dynamics for the last few quarters...
Since the opening of the trading day the price of crude oil Brent is declining. On the hourly chart the price has broken down the first support level of 34.35 (ÅÌÀ50), which is ÅÌÀ200 on the four-hour chart...
The price of gold has returned to the level of 1190.00 USD per troy ounce, (which is had at the beginning of November), regaining half of the losses since mid-October 2015. On the daily chart the price has broken down strong resistance levels 1129.00 (ÅÌÀ200)...
Amid sharp decline in the global stock indices since the beginning of the year European index EUROSTOXX50 has lost about 14%. During the final surge of decline from 3515.0 to 2840.0 last December, the price has managed to go above the level of 23.6% Fibonacci...
On the daily chart the price has broken down the upper line of the downward channel at the level of 35.50. Although, on the daily chart the indicators OsMA and Stochastic recommend long positions; on the four-hour chart the indicators give signals in favor of the sell positions...
|8||Fort Financial Services||67%|