Forex Forecast for 5-9 October 2015

October 5, 2015

First, a review of the previous week:

- this time round, the forecast for EUR/USD given by graphical analysis panned out – first, the pair was to go down to 1.1120 and then return to resistance at 1.1210, which happened. After that, the pair moved sideways, turning 1.1210 into a Pivot Point where it finished the week;

- those 80% of the analysts who said that GBP/USD had already reached its low were right. Despite all the efforts by the bulls, a rebound didn’t occur. Instead, the pair followed the predictions of graphical analysis and stayed in a sideways trend all of the last week;

- in line with the forecast of the 12% of the analysts and the indicators on D1, USD/JPY continued its sideways trend. Besides, the D1 chart clearly shows that, after descending from a double top to last spring’s levels and reducing its volatility, USD/JPY formed an almost perfect pennant (or a symmetrical triangle) over the last 6 weeks;

- one of the forecasts for USD/CHF claimed that the pair would continue its sideways movement, which did happen. At the same time, as predicted, support was at 0.9670 (the pair’s main support level for the past 4 weeks). The other mentioned level 0.9740 served as a Pivot Point.

Forecast for the coming week.

Summarizing the views of several dozen analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on various methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be proposed:

- both analysts and indicators predict that EUR/USD will stay in its sideways trend. The bottom boundaries are set at 1.1100 and 1.1000. Resistance is likely to be at 1.1300 and 1.4600;

- most experts believe that GBP/USD will also be moving horizontally. The main support level will be at 1.5100, with the main resistance around 1.5300. Graphical analysis on H4, in turn, shows that the pair may bounce higher to around 1.5360, as it happened 8 and 9 September. Alternatively, 17% of the analysts don’t rule out that 1.5100 is still not the bottom and the pair may drop even lower to 1.1470;

- considering that USD/JPY has formed an absolutely symmetrical triangle on D1, the indicators continue to point to a sideways trend. However, the W1 timeframe shows that the triangle isn’t that symmetrical but rather ascending. This pattern is usually indicative of an upward breakout, and 70% of the experts agree with it, believing that the pair should reach at least 122.00 in the long run. The main support remains at 118.50;

- regarding USD/CHF, the lows of 24 August, 18 September and 2 October allow drawing a bullish support line. This is corroborated by 67% of the analysts and indicators on W1 – in the medium term, the bulls will maintain advantage and the pair will be moving up to 0.9900. At the same time, indicators on D1 suggest that the pair will stay in a horizontal trend with a 0.9740 Pivot Point for another week.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Publication source
NordFX information  NordFX reviews

January 19, 2017
Is equilibrium out of reach?
Let’s check what’s going on with Oil before turning our attention to the Russian Ruble. “Black gold” is forming a reversal pattern next to the key level of 52.10. The only matter is that this pattern is above the horizontal level, but the 52.10 level can potentially become the neckline of our pattern...
January 18, 2017
Trump Inauguration Market Outlook
Friday, January 20, 2017 will mark the historic inauguration of what promises to be a highly unconventional US presidential administration...
January 17, 2017
Oil spikes higher on Saudi Oil minister comments
Oil has spiked higher on Al Falih comments in Davos (Saudi oil minister). He said during a panel discussion at WEF in Davos that there will be inflation in the cost of doing business in the oil industry, following the squeeze that accompanied the decline in crude prices...

XTB Rating
Tickmill Rating
HotForex Rating
FBS Rating
FOREX.com Rating
EXNESS Rating

365BinaryOption Rating
IQ Option Rating
Beeoptions Rating
TropicalTrade Rating
OptionTrade Rating
OptionRally Rating