The euro snapback

5 October, 2016

The single currency has been most notable for the ever tighter trading ranges that have been in evidence in recent weeks. There was a slight wobble to that yesterday as the single currency gained on a story suggesting that the ECB would consider ‘tapering’ bond purchases ahead at some point next year. Officially the program is set to end March 2017, although the ECB President has said that it could continue beyond that. This is one of those stories based on ‘sources’, so some may take it with a pinch of salt. But beneath the surface is probably an underlying concern that the ECB needs to be very cognisant of the impact of bond purchases and the increased ownership that the ECB is taking on. Some, especially Germany, are increasingly uncomfortable with that.

Elsewhere, the sterling headline writers had their day yesterday as sterling hit mid 1980s lows after a new leg lower was initiated in the wake of the weekend announcement of a deadline to the triggering of article 50. This has brought forth bearing calls once again for the year end, as the Brexit debate takes over from the economic data as the main driver of the currency. Over the past week though, EURJPY has been pretty steady as the Japanese currency has pulled back from the 100 level on USDJPY. For today, there is some more US data to offer distraction ahead of the US jobs numbers on Friday. The dollar continues to see creeping strength on the basis of a December rate increase.


Source link  
Best currency rally heading for a crash

The analyst who most accurately predicted the ruble's rally in the second quarter is now its most pessimistic forecaster. The Bank of Russia's switch to...

Trade truce 2.0, or new currency wars?

Tensions around trade wars subsided following news reports that both the US and China leaders are set to hold an extended meeting...

Experts predict where crude could go

A top military aide to Iran's supreme leader warned over the weekend that The first bullet fired in the Persian Gulf will push oil prices above...


Morgan Stanley sees global recession

Investors are overlooking the threat posed by the U.S.-China trade war, which could send the global economy into recession in less than a year...

Oil at $100: how will it affect economy?

Brent crude has risen about 33 percent this year and is close to the highest in six months. While higher prices due to strong demand typically reflects...

Oil sector will lose 95% by 2050

Companies in the oil and gas sector, including large groups such as Shell, BP and Exxon, could lose 95% of their value by 2050 if governments...


The US economy recession by 2021

In a recent survey, most business economists believe the U.S. will fall into recession by 2021. Days after the market euphoria over a ceasefire in the...

Fed plans some further hikes

The U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday, as expected, but forecast fewer rate hikes next year and signaled its tightening cycle is nearing...

Pound to remain in Limbo

The British pound hit its lowest level in over 20 months yesterday before recovering in today's trading session on the back of a decision by British Prime...

  


Share it on:   or