Gold may be a good bet in the new year

27 December, 2017

The gold price jumped to a 3-week high in early trading today, taking its gains to over $40 in less than 2 weeks and with the market expected to remain quiet until after the new year, gold rise should remain intact.

So the question is what is in store for gold as the New year kicks off and what factors are likely to support or sink the precious metal?

The first thing that needs to be taken into consideration is the amount of rate hikes to be delivered by the US Federal Reserve with most analysts predicting that the Fed will move 3 times as the year unfolds.

In their last meeting, Fed president Janet Yellen noted that any future rate hikes would be data dependent which basically means, poor data, no rate hikes.

Last Friday we saw core personal consumption index figures and durable good figures from the US which both hit the market below expectations and if this trend continues as the New Year kicks off, rate hikes will be definitely put on the back burner for the time being.

The second thing which comes to mind is the standoff between North Kora and the US over the Former's nuclear weapons program which was exasperated recently by China's decision to halt exports of oil to North Korea which will further cripple the nations already devastated economy.

How the North's Kim Jong Un will react to this situation remains unclear but one thing is for sure is that is he is not going to back down from his nuclear weapons program and the unpredictability of US Donald Trump's reaction may see gold supported by investors looking for a safe haven.

Lastly we have the uncertainty surrounding Brexit and although negotiations for the UK to leave the European union have reached the second stage, there are so many things that could derail the process which threatens to bring instability to the European continent and once again boost the appeal of gold.

So as the situation stand now, gold may be a good bet as we enter the New Year until many of the unknowns become clear.


Source link  
Aussie dollar up on Chinese data

The Australian dollar remains firmly above the US70c mark in today’s trading session after a strong round of data out of China alleviated...

Pound may hit $1.37 by years end

The British pound is expected to face increased volatility over the coming months as the deadline approaches for the UK to leave the EU at the end...

Has the US dollar peaked?

The US dollar has made significant gains against all the major currencies over the last month as worries over trade tensions between...


Pound may suffer in the long term

The British pound continues to power ahead in today's trading session after yesterday's developments in the British parliament that many see as ending...

Gold needs to remain above $1300

The gold price has staged a substantial rally since last week after the US Federal Reserve latest board meeting where they stated that any move...

Only way for oil is down

The oil price has now broken down through the all important $50 mark, which is a physiological blow to any chance of a rally, and according to...


D-Day for the pound

Traders and Fund managers alike are expected to be glued to their desk on Tuesday evening UK time as the British parliament vote on the Brexit Deal put before them...

Will gold's rally continue?

After spending the majority of November range bound, the gold price has finally broken out to the upside as investors seek out safe havens from the anticipated...

Dollar could weaken for years

The US dollar has been the star performer in the currency markets this year, gaining solidly against all the major currency but some are beginning...

  


Share it on:   or