Admiral Markets - Forex Market Analysiss

Rising wedges signal completion

The EUR/USD has broken long-term support levels (dotted green) but still has important and decisive horizontals levels to break before a wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple) can be confirmed...

Impact Brexit vote on Forex market

The GBP/USD managed to break the resistance trend line (dotted red) despite the British vote on the EU membership taking place today (Thursday June 23rd). The bullish price action is most likely reflecting a reaction towards the opinion polls...

Major currency pairs smack into barrier of resistance

The EUR/USD has made a slight bearish bounce at the resistance trend line (red). The bullish momentum, however, is still in control and a breakout could see price move towards the Fibonacci levels. Of course, all currency pairs will be impacted by the British vote on Thursday June 23rd...

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Major currency pairs reach key Fibonacci levels

The EUR/USD broke the support trend line (dotted green) after yesterday's strong bearish 4 hour candle appeared. From a long-term perspective price is still above key support such as the daily trend line (solid green)...

Remarkable wave patterns develop in Forex market

The EUR/USD did not manage to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level and instead broke below the support trend line (dotted green). This bearish breakout has seen strong momentum but price is still above long-term support (green)...

Strong bullish price action remains leading factor

The EUR/USD retraced back to the 23.6% Fibonacci level of wave B (orange) and could now be building a channel (red/blue). A break below the channel could indicate that price is retracing back to the 38.2% Fibonacci level...


Majors dominated by robust downtrend channels

The EUR/USD is pausing at the 100% Fibonacci level of wave C versus wave A. Wave C (blue) corrections are typically equal to the length of wave A so a break below the 100% Fib target increases the likelihood of a potential wave 3 (purple)...

Key triangles visible on 3 major Forex pairs

The EUR/USD broke below the horizontal support (dotted blue) as the bearish channel maintains its momentum to the 100% Fibonacci level. Wave C corrections are typically equal to the length of wave A so a break below the 100% Fib target increases the likelihood of a potential wave 3...

EURUSD, GBPUSD respect 38.2% Fibonacci level and build triangle

The EUR/USD broke the internal resistance trend line (dotted orange) and made a move up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of wave B (blue). Price is now challenging the long-term support trend line (green)...

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EURUSD break of choppy channel

The EUR/USD broke above the resistance trend lines (dotted red), which makes it likely that a swing high and swing low was completed at the trend line...

Only USDJPY offers momentum

The USD/JPY has reached the 161.8% Fibonacci target. A break above this target favors a wave 3 (purple) whereas a bearish turn makes a wave C (pink) more likely...

High probability of key trend line breaks

The EUR/USD is entrapped between support trend lines (green) and resistance (red). A bullish breakout could indicate a completion of the ABC (blue), whereas a bearish breakout could indicate a continuation of the C wave (blue)...


US Dollar dramatic close and reverse

The EUR/USD reached the 61.8% Fibonacci target before showing a 'close and reverse' formation which sparked strong bearish price action. However, the support trend line (green) needs to break before the waves Y of wave 4 (blue) can be considered completed...

EURUSD, USDJPY finally display flavours of momentum

The EUR/USD has indeed showed a continuation of the uptrend within the waves Y as indicated last week. Price is now reached a heavy resistance zone (red). A break above it could see price continue towards the Fibonacci targets...

US Dollar weakness continues to rock the Forex boat

The EUR/USD broke above resistance (dotted orange), which expands the larger WXY (purple) development towards resistance (red). As long as price stays in the bullish channel, then a continuation of the uptrend is likely as part of the Y waves...

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AUDJPY tanking down after BOJ decision

Yen crosses fell heavily after BOJ decided no to go with more stimulus for now. The drops were direct and that means - VERY strong, without any retracement. Nikkei was slaughtered too. BOJ appeared quite hawkish last night even more than FED...

Bearish momentum aligned with wave outlook and Fibonacci

The EUR/USD is in bullish trend channel (purple) with resistance trend lines (orange) closeby. A bearish bounce would confirm the wave X (green) correction; whereas a bullish breakout would see the larger WXY (purple) develop towards resistance (red)...

Don't bank on it

Can two of the world largest central banks steer their economies in the right direction and keep the markets happy at the same time? That is quite a question and one to which there is no straightforward answer given the number of variables involved...


ABC zigzags lead direction of Forex waves

The EUR/USD is unable to break above the 1.14 resistance level. Support (green) and resistance (orange) trend lines mark the boundaries and breakout territory. A push below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of wave X (purple) makes the current wave count less likely and a bearish variant more likely...

Break of patterns setup momentum in FX market

The EUR/USD is building a small bear flag chart pattern (orange and green trend lines). A bullish break could indicate that the larger wave 4 (blue) is still not completed. A bearish break of the bear flag could indicate that a larger retracement or even reversal (and completion of wave 4) is taking place...

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