EURNZD Daily Shooting Star At Resistance

April 27, 2015

EURNZD Daily Shooting Star At Resistance

EURNZD, Weekly

EURNZD has been trending lower for the whole of the 2015 but last week rallied significantly on the back of comments from assistant Governor John McDermott. He said last week that the bank will ensure that the monetary policy is stimulatory to support output growth above potential and help lift inflation back to target. He also pointed that “At present, the Bank is not considering any increase in interest rates. Before considering any tightening in monetary policy we would need to be confident that increased capacity utilisation and labour market tightness was generating, or about to generate, a substantial increase in inflation”.

This rally brought EURNZD to a resistance where a weekly pivotal close and 23.6% Fibonacci levels coincide. The pair has reacted lower on Friday after moving briefly above the Fibonacci level. Stochastics are moving higher from oversold levels after diverging for over the weeks before last. Nearest weekly support and resistance levels are at 1.3883 and 1.4290, while the next major resistance is at 1.4547.

EURNZD D

EURNZD, Daily

The pair created a shooting star candle last Friday as it reacted lower from April 7th pivot candle and has since been moving sideways near Friday’s lows. Stochastics is very close to overbought levels and the 50 simple moving average is not that far away from the latest high and the same applies to the upper Bollinger Bands as well. Also, this move was a contra-trend move that took the pair to the upper end of the bearish price channel. Therefore it’s not a surprise that this market is reacting lower.

EURNZD 240

EURNZD, 240 min

Stochastics are turning higher from levels close to the oversold levels. This coincides with price reacting higher from a pivot support level close to the 1.4200. While one hour chart shows RSI diverging and turning higher the 4h chart suggests we could have a 4h hammer candle when in a bit more than one hour’s time. The current 4h candle would need to close above the mid-way of the current 4210 and 4264 range.  This would indicate market participants trying to take the pair higher. However, upside is quite limited by the technical factors listed in the daily time frame analysis. The support area between 1.4014 and 1.4055 is a likely level to cause some buying and could therefore act as a target.

 

Conclusion

Judging from the technical picture upside in this market is limited. Price is trading close to a descending price channel high and it has already reacted lower from the channel top. The longer term trend is lower and Thursday’s rally was contrary to the main momentum. This suggests we should see weakness over the coming few days. Currently price has found some support from a pivot high (see 4h chart) which could turn into a short term strength but at the moment there isn’t much upside momentum either. This market is in a sell the rallies mode and support area between 1.4014 and 1.4055 is a likely level to cause some buying and could therefore act as a target.

Trade these levels only should the price action confirm my analysis. If you don’t know how to read price action, please join me to our free webinars and learn how to take your trading to the next level. Click the image below to register and participate for FREE!

2015-04-22_1226

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

Publication source
HotForex information  HotForex reviews

December 8, 2016
U.S. equities post a new record high. Euro looks to ECB meeting
U.S. equities edged higher to post new highs in yesterday's trading marking one of the strongest one day gains since the November elections. The DJIA gained 1.6% while the S&P500 closed with 1.3% gains...
December 8, 2016
US equities jump sharply
US markets saw a massive rise today as the Dow was up 300 points and the S&P 500 was up 29 points showcasing that investors believe the advent of Trump will have a positive effect on the US economy.
December 7, 2016
GBP falls as industrial & manu. production miss
The pound has come under pressure in London trading today. EURGBP buying has been a driver, with the cross rallying some 0.5% to a peak of 0.8510, since ebbing to around 0.8490. Gains failed to sustain above the 20-day moving average, which is at 0.8503...

Z.com Trade Rating
EXNESS Rating
FxPro Rating
Orbex Rating
FIBO Group Rating
Larson&Holz IT Ltd Rating

EZTrader Rating
Beeoptions Rating
Grand Option Rating
OptionBit Rating
24option Rating
Empire Option Rating