GBP/USD: general analysis on 23.06.2015

June 23, 2015

Current trend 

Yesterday, the USD was steady against the major currencies basket and at the same time it has slightly strengthened against the Pound. Sales of the existing homes in the USA have increased by 5.1% versus expectations of 4.4% and the decline of 2.3% a month ago. In addition, the USD is under pressure from the comments of the US Fed about the timing of the interest rate increase. The economic growth forecast in the country was revised down and the inflation still remains at the low level.

Today, the US data on the orders for durable goods will become known. These are the products with the service life exceeding three years, and which consequently involves large investments. After this news the volatility will probably increase and the Pound can return to seven-month highs.

Support and resistance

The nearest resistance level is yesterday’s highs (1.5905). Support level: 1.5720 (moving average line with the period 40).

Trading tips

It is likely that due to the comments made by the US Fed, the USD will continue to weaken, and in case of the negative data on the orders for durable goods, the pair can roll back to yesterday’s highs at the level of 1.5905. Stop-loss for the long positions should be placed at the level of 1.5720.

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