Brent: moderate growth

2 November, 2015

Brent: moderate growth

Current trend

At the end of last week, the price of Brent crude oil strengthened moderately, being supported by the weakness of the US dollar which failed to hold its positions, gained after the recent Fed meeting.

At the same time, the oil prices remain under pressure from, first of all, strong imbalance between supply and demand, which is getting worse amid the Iranian situation and OPEC's decision to raise production quotas. Analysts suggest that the oil market will be facing continued oversupply until the second half of 2016.

Support and resistance

Bollinger bands indicator on the daily chart is directed horizontally, while the price range remains unchanged during several days. MACD is growing and keeping a moderate buy signal. Stochastic has reached the overbought zone and turned horizontally.

It is recommended to wait for clearer trading signals.

Support levels: 49.00, 48.58, 48.00, 47.32, 46.80, 46.27 (27 October low), 46.00.

Resistance levels: 49.50, 50.00, 50.54 (16 October high), 51.08, 51.50, 52.10.

Trading tips

Open long positions after the breakout of the level of 50.00 (with appropriate indicators signals) with targets at 50.80, 51.00 and stop-loss at 49.70. Validity – 1-3 days.

Open short positions when the price turns down and breaks down the level of 49.00 with targets at 48.40, 48.00 and stop-loss at 49.30. Validity – 1-3 days.


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