EURUSD reacting higher after Friday drop

November 9, 2015

EURUSD, 240 min

After the huge surprise in the US Non-Farm Payrolls numbers on Friday the market participants saw the December rate hike in the US as a done deal. This dropped EURUSD to a 1.0666 – 1.0752 support range and drove the US Dollar Index into a resistance (see Friday’s TCM report). As a result EURUSD has recovered slightly and is at the time of writing up by 0.27% from Friday’s close.

All in all the pair is still in a downward sloping channel with resistance ahead at 1.0833. The upper end of the channel isn’t far away from the resistance while the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level coincides with the general area of this resistance. In addition the 30 period SMA happens to be relatively near to the resistance at 1.0872. Based on several technical factors coinciding between 1.0833 and 1.0872 I am looking for short trade signals in this bracket should the price rally to these levels. My target for a short trade is at 1.0755.

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