Fundamental analysis for January 18, 2016

18 January, 2016

Fundamental analysis for January 18, 2016

The market was quite volatile last Friday, still in general it tends to the dollar strengthening. The heterogeneous movement was mainly due to the stock and commodity markets instability. Besides the market sentiments, the currency dynamics was influenced by the European and the UK Central Banks while the macro data remained practically unnoticed.

The German 2015 GDP is encouraging. The GDP growth was 1.7% due to the personal consumption, the government spending and the investment growth. The positive data have helped to reduce the yields differential on the US and Germany government bonds. The Eurozone published the November trade balance. The data came in at the level 23,6B. By the end of the trades the pair euro/dollar decreased.

The debt market reacted to the British monetary authorities statements by the government bonds yields lowering in relation to its US and Germany counterparts. That fact, of course, reduces the investments attractiveness to the British assets. The Bank of England posted the Credit Conditions Survey. The pair pound/dollar fell by the end of the trades.

The demand for risky assets keeps growing which is a negative factor for the Japanese yen as a funding currency. One of the last Friday key events was the USA retail sales report (-0,1% against the forecasted 0,2%) where the producer prices (on the forecasted level of 0,2%) and the Michigan University consumer confidence index (93,3 against the forecasted 93,0) were announced. The pair dollar/yen closed the trades with a decrease.


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Brent failed to approach 49.50

Sellers kept driving the benchmark lower the whole night and found an obstacle at 48.50. The resistance lies at 49.50, the support lies in at 48.50 dollars...

DAX index turned bearish

The benchmark broke 12600 first and then weakened down to 12527. Bulls returned control in the early European session and returned the price to 12600...

Gold bounced from its upper limit

We expect the spot to retest 1240 in the short-term. Should sellers succeed they may lead the pair down to 1230. If the level stands the spot...


Gold price reached important target

The prices have reached their important target of 1260 and this was only a bounce and a correction of the downtrend...

Dollar setback due to recent PCE date

Today is last day of the month and FED's members speeches are to be announced therefore the market volatility growth is expected...

Gold has jumped to 1265 level

The resistance holds at 1280, support comes in at 1245.9. Major resistance is highlighted at 1295.4. Next target is set at 1350...


Gold prices bounced off

The spot was struggling to build onto the recovery during the night trades. Buyers lost their steam at 1265 where the pair found some fresh offers....

Golld turned around and reversed

The bullish trend remained intact on Tuesday. The price bounced from the upper limit...

Gold prices remained in a consolidation phase

Sellers led the spot to 1250 the other day but failed to break below the level. The price remained sandwiched between 1250 - 1255...

  


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