Fundamental analysis for February 18, 2016

18 February, 2016

The dollar purchase dominated despite some weak data from the US. Investors’ sentiment changed to a negative one when the oil prices returned to a decrease, which was characterized by a high volatility, and were the main driver for global markets.

On the one hand, ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey showed a growing pessimism among financial experts. On the other hand, the Fed’s last meeting minutes were published. Traders expected to see a dovish rhetoric of the monetary authorities regarding energy prices falling and global economic growth slowing down. By the end of the trades the pair euro/dollar slightly decreased.

The British pound recovered after the employment data release. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1%, compared with the forecast for a drop to 5.0%. Claimant Count Change fell by 14.8K in January, while the Average Earnings including Bonus increased by 1.9% in December. The pair pound/dollar fell by the end of the trades.

This year we have seen high volatility in the financial markets. The last FOMC meeting minutes were published. Traders’ expected the minutes to coincide with the Janet Yellen’s comments in front the US Congress, that the labor market is showing a positive trend. However, the risk significantly increased due to low energy prices and the slowing down of the global growth. According to minutes some leaders are afraid of the US economy slowdown amid China's economic problems. The majority believes that the inflation will rise to 2% in the medium term. The Fed stressed that the date of interest rates rising would depend on the incoming economic data. The pair dollar/yen was trading in the consolidation corridor


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Dollar setback due to recent PCE date

Today is last day of the month and FED's members speeches are to be announced therefore the market volatility growth is expected...

Gold has jumped to 1265 level

The resistance holds at 1280, support comes in at 1245.9. Major resistance is highlighted at 1295.4. Next target is set at 1350...

Gold prices bounced off

The spot was struggling to build onto the recovery during the night trades. Buyers lost their steam at 1265 where the pair found some fresh offers....


Golld turned around and reversed

The bullish trend remained intact on Tuesday. The price bounced from the upper limit...

Gold prices remained in a consolidation phase

Sellers led the spot to 1250 the other day but failed to break below the level. The price remained sandwiched between 1250 - 1255...

DAX grew amid a fresh buying interest

European stocks opened in green when markets recovered from Trump’s failure in Congress. Investors focused on Brexit...


Pound reached its monthly high

The pound remained in an upward channel on Tuesday. The price pulled back from its upper limit...

Brent maintained its ask tone

Sellers continued driving the benchmark lower after a brief pause at 50.80 dollars per barrel...

Gold prices remained in green

The bullish market structure remained in place on Thursday...

  


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