Fundamental analysis for March 31, 2016

31 March, 2016

Fundamental analysis for March 31, 2016

The dollar suffered significant losses. The US currency fell victim to the extremely soft Fed rhetoric. The regulator emphasized the risks: external and internal, and also mentioned the possibility of policy easing if necessary. The regulator’s comments suggest a significant weakening of the dollar, especially in light of the mentioned possible return to the economy stimulation. The ADP for March was published on Wednesday (the previous value was 214K; the forecast was 194K). The data came in at the level of 200K.

It is impossible to ignore the growing "appetite for risk": the new postions on carry trade cuased pressure on  the euro as a funding currency. However the pair euro/dollar strengthened by the end of the trades.

The debt market dynamics pointed to the British currency correction. The 10 years UK government bonds yields reduced in relation to their counterparts (the United States and Germany) which reduced the attractiveness of the British assets. The Bank of England performance will be the focus of our attention on Thursday. By the end of the trades the pair pound/dollar decreased.

The yields differential on government bonds of the United States and Japan decreased from November to February inclusively. Retail Sales turnover decreased by 5.4% in Japan. Despite the Japanese and the US retail sales differential indicators at 0% at the end of January, this figure reached the level of 2.2% in favor of the latter in February. The pair dollar/yen closed the trades with a slight growth.


Source link  
Asian equity indexes mixed

Asian indexes were mixed on Thursday following a soft close in Wall Street following a widely anticipated tax reform approval by Congress...

Mixed sentiment takes on in Asia

Asia markets were mixed on Monday, following a strong lead from Wall Street last week as market players looked ahead to fresh economic data, while...

Euro is firm at current levels

The preliminary estimate of the consumer price index in November rose to 1.5% from 1.4%. The data turned out to be less than expected...


Gold reversed some losses

The softer tone in the US Dollar allowed gold prices to reverse some losses. Buyers broke the upper limit of the selling channel and almost...

Pound tested 1.3200 and stopped

The buying interest persists in the market. All technical indicators are positive supporting buy orders. The resistance lies at 1.3300, the support comes...

Brent failed to approach 49.50

Sellers kept driving the benchmark lower the whole night and found an obstacle at 48.50. The resistance lies at 49.50, the support lies in at 48.50 dollars...


DAX index turned bearish

The benchmark broke 12600 first and then weakened down to 12527. Bulls returned control in the early European session and returned the price to 12600...

Gold bounced from its upper limit

We expect the spot to retest 1240 in the short-term. Should sellers succeed they may lead the pair down to 1230. If the level stands the spot...

Gold price reached important target

The prices have reached their important target of 1260 and this was only a bounce and a correction of the downtrend...

  


Share: