Only USDJPY offers momentum

May 11, 2016

EUR/USD
4 hour

The EUR/USD is entrapped between support trend lines (green) and resistance (red). Price has reached a long-term support trend line (dark green), which is a bounce or break spot. A bullish breakout could indicate a completion of the ABC (blue), whereas a bearish breakout could indicate a continuation of the C wave (blue).

1 hour

The EUR/USD remains in a choppy trend channel. Price keeps respecting the support (green) and resistance (red) levels. A bearish breakout would most likely see price move towards the Fibonacci targets of wave 3 (green) and wave C (blue).

GBP/USD
4 hour

The GBP/USD has also reached a long-term key support trend line (green). A break of the support trend line would confirm the downtrend on the GBP/USD whereas a break of the 2 resistance trend lines (orange-red) could indicate the completion of the ABC (pink) and an expansion of the uptrend.

1 hour

The GBP/USD is still respecting the 61.8% Fibonacci level of wave 2 vs 1. A bearish break below the support trend lines (green) could see price expand wave A (pink) lower via a potential wave 3 (green). A bullish break above resistance (red) invalidates 123 (green) and indicates a bullish breakout.

USD/JPY
4 hour

The USD/JPY has reached the 161.8% Fibonacci target. A break above this target favors a wave 3 (purple) whereas a bearish turn makes a wave C (pink) more likely.

1 hour

Whether the USD/JPY will build a wave C (pink) or wave 3 (purple) depends on its price reaction at the Fibonacci levels of wave 4 (orange). Price should typically stop at the 38.2% Fibonacci level and not break below the support trend line (blue) if a wave 4 indeed unfolds.

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