Impact Brexit vote on Forex market

23 June, 2016

GBP/USD
4 hour

The GBP/USD managed to break the resistance trend line (dotted red) despite the British vote on the EU membership taking place today (Thursday June 23rd). The bullish price action is most likely reflecting a reaction towards the opinion polls. The wave count is highly vulnerable to change depending on the referendum result and market reaction to the event. The first results are expected in the morning of Friday June 24th GMT time.

1 hour

The GBP/USD is in a wave 5 (green), which could expand to higher Fibonacci levels if price breaks above resistance (orange).

EUR/USD
4 hour

The EUR/USD bullish bounce at 1.1250 has taken price back to the resistance trend line (red). Bullish candles are now challenging the resistance level but a breakout or bounce could also remain unknown until the results of the British vote (today) are slowly announced in the morning of Friday June 24th (GMT).

1 hour

The EUR/USD broke above the resistance trend line (dotted orange) for a continuation of wave Y (blue).

USD/JPY
4 hour

The USD/JPY is moving back and forth between support (green) and resistance (orange). The wave count is highly vulnerable to change depending on the referendum result and market reaction to the event.

1 hour

The USD/JPY will encounter many resistance Fibs if a break above the resistance trend line occurs.


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Rising wedges signal completion

The EUR/USD has broken long-term support levels (dotted green) but still has important and decisive horizontals levels to break before a wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple) can be confirmed...

Major currency pairs smack into barrier of resistance

The EUR/USD has made a slight bearish bounce at the resistance trend line (red). The bullish momentum, however, is still in control and a breakout could see price move towards the Fibonacci levels. Of course, all currency pairs will be impacted by the British vote on Thursday June 23rd...

Major currency pairs reach key Fibonacci levels

The EUR/USD broke the support trend line (dotted green) after yesterday's strong bearish 4 hour candle appeared. From a long-term perspective price is still above key support such as the daily trend line (solid green)...


Remarkable wave patterns develop in Forex market

The EUR/USD did not manage to break above the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level and instead broke below the support trend line (dotted green). This bearish breakout has seen strong momentum but price is still above long-term support (green)...

Strong bullish price action remains leading factor

The EUR/USD retraced back to the 23.6% Fibonacci level of wave B (orange) and could now be building a channel (red/blue). A break below the channel could indicate that price is retracing back to the 38.2% Fibonacci level...

Majors dominated by robust downtrend channels

The EUR/USD is pausing at the 100% Fibonacci level of wave C versus wave A. Wave C (blue) corrections are typically equal to the length of wave A so a break below the 100% Fib target increases the likelihood of a potential wave 3 (purple)...


Key triangles visible on 3 major Forex pairs

The EUR/USD broke below the horizontal support (dotted blue) as the bearish channel maintains its momentum to the 100% Fibonacci level. Wave C corrections are typically equal to the length of wave A so a break below the 100% Fib target increases the likelihood of a potential wave 3...

EURUSD, GBPUSD respect 38.2% Fibonacci level and build triangle

The EUR/USD broke the internal resistance trend line (dotted orange) and made a move up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of wave B (blue). Price is now challenging the long-term support trend line (green)...

EURUSD break of choppy channel

The EUR/USD broke above the resistance trend lines (dotted red), which makes it likely that a swing high and swing low was completed at the trend line...

  


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