Rising wedges signal completion

30 June, 2016

EUR/USD
4 hour

The EUR/USD has broken long-term support levels (dotted green) but still has important and decisive horizontals levels to break before a wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple) can be confirmed. For the moment a wave 1-2 (green) structure makes the most sense considering the bearish momentum in wave 1 and the corrective reaction in wave 2.

1 hour

The EUR/USD has built a bullish channel (orange/green) after breaking several resistance levels (dotted lines). All in all the angle of this channel remains shallow and hence corrective and looks like a rising wedge chart pattern. A break above the channel should see price stop at the Fibonacci retracement levels whereas a break below the support (green) should spark the breakout if the bears can keep control with good candle closes near the low.

GBP/USD
4 hour

The GBP/USD is building a bear flag (green lines) chart pattern, which has bearish implications and expects a continuation of the downtrend. A break below support could see price continue with its bearish momentum towards the next Fibonacci target.

1 hour

A GBP/USD break above the channel should see price stop at the Fibonacci retracement levels whereas a break below the support (green) should spark the breakout if the bears can keep control with good candle closes near the low.

USD/JPY
4 hour

The USD/JPY is behaving correctively as it moves away from the bottom of the downtrend channel. This makes a wave B (green) the most likely scenario at the moment. Price would need to break above the 100% Fib level before waves Y (blue/brown) can be considered completed.

1 hour

The USD/JPY is building a rising wedge (red/green) chart pattern, which has bearish implications. A break above the pattern should see price stop at the Fibonacci retracement levels whereas a break below the support (green) should spark the breakout if the bears can keep control with good candle closes near the low.


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Key triangles visible on 3 major Forex pairs

The EUR/USD broke below the horizontal support (dotted blue) as the bearish channel maintains its momentum to the 100% Fibonacci level. Wave C corrections are typically equal to the length of wave A so a break below the 100% Fib target increases the likelihood of a potential wave 3...

EURUSD, GBPUSD respect 38.2% Fibonacci level and build triangle

The EUR/USD broke the internal resistance trend line (dotted orange) and made a move up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of wave B (blue). Price is now challenging the long-term support trend line (green)...

EURUSD break of choppy channel

The EUR/USD broke above the resistance trend lines (dotted red), which makes it likely that a swing high and swing low was completed at the trend line...

  


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