Dollar buying pauses on FOMC meeting minutes

5 January, 2017

The U.S. dollar rally paused yesterday, into the FOMC meeting minutes, closing on a bearish note. Price action followed through by gapping lower in Asian trading session this morning as the dollar index is seen approaching 101.75 support level. The minutes revealed that officials hiked rates largely based on the market reaction to the presidential elections and in anticipation of aggressive fiscal policy under the new government. The meeting minutes were more hawkish than expected and come from the December 13 meeting where the central bank hiked interest rates for a second time by 25 basis points and signaled at least three rate hikes in 2017.

EURUSD intra-daily analysis

EURUSD (1.0554): EURUSD closed bullish in yesterday's session with price action currently extending the gains higher after clearing the 1.0500 resistance level. The euro gained positive momentum yesterday especially after flash inflation estimates showed that headline inflation in the eurozone rose above one percent for the first time in a few years. The euro also maintained gains on broadly positive composite PMI numbers from December. On the 4-hour chart, price action will need to clear 1.0533 - 1.0500 support level in the term to extend the gains towards 1.0700 eventually. To the downside, the bias could turn flat in the event that EURUSD makes a daily close below 1.0500, which could keep prices ranging between 1.0500 and 1.0400.

GBPUSD intra-day analysis

GBPUSD (1.2340): GBPUSD closed bullish yesterday and price action could be seen edging closer to the first obstacle at the immediate resistance level at 1.2400. The brief retest back to the support level at 1.2250 - 1.2224 yesterday, signals that prices have bottomed out in the short term with the current rally likely to push GBPUSD towards 1.2400 with further gains coming above this level. The longer term target remains at 1.2571 which could be tested for resistance. However, the price will need to establish support at 1.2400 for further gains to be logged. Alternately, GBPUSD could remain range bound within 1.2400 and 1.2250 levels in the near term ahead of tomorrow's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report.

XAUUSD intra-day analysis

XAUUSD (1176.27): Gold prices have managed to push strongly higher over the holiday season, but the support/resistance level at 1150.00 is likely to be tested ahead of further gains towards 1200.00. The daily chart for gold prices shows a strong hidden bearish divergence that could indicate a near-term pullback to the rally. Thus, 1150.00 makes for an ideal support level that could be tested before gold prices establish resistance at 1200.00. In the event that gold prices fall below 1150.00, further declines could be seen coming which could eventually push gold lower towards the 1100 support levels.


Source link  
Dollar continues to slide

The greenback continued to weaken against some of the major currencies yesterday amid a quiet trading day...

Dollar looks to a new week

The US dollar index will be looking to a fresh week with the possibility of a rebound following last week's sharp declines..

US dollar rebounds as investor nerves cool

The US dollar managed to stem the strong declines after developments from Washington...


EURUSD unstoppable at a 6-month high

The euro surged ahead to a fresh 6-month high earlier this morning as the price was seen tradingþ...

Will UK's wages catch up?

The US dollar extended declines strongly for another day as economic data...

US dollar stays subdued

The latest monthly manufacturing activity report released by the New York Fed yesterday...


US dollar slips on soft inflation figure

The US dollar fell sharply on Friday after data showed that consumer price index rose 0.2%...

US dollar looking weaker

Economic data from the US continued to remain robust with the initial jobless claims declining to 236,000 for the week...

Markets brace for UK Super Thursday

The Bank of England meeting, industrial and manufacturing production numbers and fresh inflation forecasts...

  


Share: