17 August, 2017
USD bears returned to the market as the tensions between North Korea and the US have greatly “cooled” this week. North Korean media reported that North Korea Leader Kim had delayed his decision to fire missiles towards Guam while he waited to see what the US did next. On Wednesday, President Trump praised North Korean leader Kim Jong Un for a “wise” decision. Minutes, released on Wednesday, from the Fed’s July meeting showed the central bank growing warier about recent weak inflation data, with some policymakers wanting proof of inflation moving towards the Fed’s 2% rate before deciding on the next rate hike. In addition, the minutes also revealed that the uncertainty surrounding the fiscal, healthcare, and trade policies was holding back business investments – which will hamper domestic growth. The CME FedWatch tool is indicating that the markets are pricing a 46.8% probability of a 0.25% rate hike in December. GBP gained following data that revealed UK wages rose faster than expected in the three months to June, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.4% – its lowest since 1975.
EURUSD rose overnight to a high of 1.17896 following data that revealed Eurozone Q2 was revised to 2.2% (prev. 2.1%). EURUSD is currently trading around 1.1770
USDJPY declined 0.4% overnight hitting a low of 109.664. USDJPY is currently trading around 109.95
GBPUSD trades in a relatively narrow range of less than 30 pips in early trading. Currently GBPUSD is trading around 1.2890
Gold climbed 0.4% to $1,289.35 adding to Wednesday’s 0.9% increase. Gold is currently trading around $1,288
WTI edged higher but remains close to a near 4 week low touched earlier this week as US output hit a 2-year high offset by the 7th weekly drawdown in stockpiles. WTI is currently trading around $46.95pb
At 09:30 BST UK National Statistics will release Retail Sales for July. Forecasts are for a lower reading than previous across all time frames – notably Month-on-month expected at 0.2% (prev. 0.6%) and Year-on-year expected 1.4% (prev. 2.9%)
At 10:00 BST Eurostat will release CPI for Eurozone in July. CPI (YoY) & Core (YoY) is expected to be unchanged at 1.3% & 1.2% respectively. Any major deviation will impact ECB monetary policy with regards to future interest rate hikes.
At 12:30 BST the ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts will be released. Markets will be looking at the rationale behind monetary policy decisions and economic growth prospects.
At 14:15 BST the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve release US Industrial Production for July. Consensus calls for a decline to 0.3% from the previous reading of 0.4%.
At 17:30 BST Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan participates in a moderated question-and-answer session at the “Dialogue with the Dallas Fed” event hosted by the Lubbock, Texas, Chamber of Commerce.
The U.S. and China have declared a truce in the trade war, and have agreed not to introduce new tariffs, and try to reach to an agreement in the next 90 days...
The US dollar is on the rise after strong U.S. labour market data published on Friday. The EURUSD is traded near 1.1540; it returned to this month lows....
The crises process is intensifying in emerging economies, which also affects their markets and supports the demand for the dollar. S&P 500 lost 0.2% on...
Asian markets have been declining for a third consecutive trading session on the fears of the Chinese-U.S. trade tensions escalating. The odds are that...
The markets remain on cautious positive mood. MSCI for Asia-Pacific region adds 0.4%, continuing gently recover for the second day in a row. American...
The strengthening of financial markets on Tuesday has not been unsustainable and prolonged. Recent shots in the U.S. trade conflicts are: a Chinas claim...
The dollar rewrote 13-months highs on Friday to a basket of six major currencies, adding 0.25% after gaining 0.5% on Thursday. The further growth of...
In the currency market, the dollar was under some pressure following the data that indicated a weakening of the inflation in the Eurozone. The slowdown in prices...
The situation in the world markets looks controversial. Shares are growing after strong reporting of companies. The shares of Alphabet (#Google) jumped by 3.6% after...