The yen keeps growing alongside with Treasuries

2 April, 2015

Euro

The pair is under the improved attitude pressure towards the dollar as well as the euro sales amid the ECB large-scale quantitative easing program. The Eurozone annual growth rate, smaller than expected M3 (4.0% in February compared with expected growth by 4.3%), as well as a continued uncertainty about the situation in Greece put pressure upon the pair. However, the attitude towards the euro has improved after stronger than expected Germany GfK consumer confidence index growth (to 10.0 in April from 9.7 in March while it was expected 9.9).

Trading recommendations
We recommend to short with the first target of 1.0750-1.0770. Shall the pair overcome this level, the level of 1.0630-1.0650 may become the new target.


Pound

The pair is trading under the market improved attitude pressure towards the dollar and the British pound sales within the declining pound/yen amid the easing risk appetite. The market’s good attitude towards the pound was caused by the UK February retail sales growth that exceeded our expectations (+ 0.7% m/m, + 5.7% y/y while it was forecasted + 0.4% and + 4.7%) and according to the CBI, the retail sales index also exceeded our expectations in March (+18 in March against +1 in February while it was forecasted + 15). The pair potential decrease is limited by the demand for the pound now.

Trading recommendations
Be advised to short to 1.4750-1.4770. The second target is the level of 1.4680-1.4700.


Yen

The pair is supported by the improved attitude towards the US dollar and the US Treasury bond yields growth amid lower than expected initial jobless claims number. According to the Markit, the pair is also supported by the stronger than expected prior composite purchasing managers index growth (PMI). In addition, the USD/JPY is also supported by the demand from the Japanese importers and the Bank of Japan extremely loose monetary policy.

Trading recommendations
It is now recommended to sell with the first target of 118.50-118.70. If the first target is overcome the level of 118.00-118.20 may become the new target.

Ruban Sergey
Analyst of «FreshForex» company


Source  
We shall buy from the area 124.206 Aug, 2015  

Daily chart: The pair is obviously aimed towards the upper Bollinger band (125.58). Expectations: falling to 124.20 and then rise to 125.58...

Flat as a preparation for decline4 Aug, 2015  

The daily chart: the pair is falling inside Bollinger envelopes, which may indicate potential of this medium-term decline around the bottom band (121.62), as ADX is insufficient for impulsive moves...

We wait for growth towards 1.5640 and shall sell from there28 Jul, 2015  

The pair tends to rise in the area of the upper Bollinger band (1.5735). However, it has a dynamic (descending) character, plus H1 gives a purely Southern pattern, so the bulls are expected at a lower part...


Flat 123.73-124.0324 Jul, 2015  

Daily chart: flat within the upper envelope (122.21-124.96) continues, whereas the spin axis is around 124.00. ADX parameter is not sufficient to replace current tendency...

Looking to buy around 1.555223 Jul, 2015  

Daily chart envelopes are griped and now there is a tendency that the upper Bollinger band is going to be the objective (1.58)...

Key support for Euro - 1.084317 Jul, 2015  

Daily chart bears still press and now a new support level is 1.0843 (the bottom Bollinger band). Below we have a small downfall to the 5th figure...


Waiting when euro in the area 1.1294 and sell24 Jun, 2015  

Daily chart: strong support in the area of the middle Bollinger band (1.1183) can bounce the pair to the area 1.1345...

Four reasons to buy S&P500. Forecast for the week 22 - 26 of June22 Jun, 2015  

This week we shall expect that flat tendency on this metal will continue. From one hand, Fed Reserve lowered its forecast on macroeconomic indicators and US dollar started to be actively sold against this background. Descending tendency as applied to US dollar is positive to gold...

We shall sell from 124.0011 Jun, 2015  

We have a predicted technical pullback from a strong support represented by the middle Bollinger band (122.54), which finds its place within a pullback to the entrance point according to the pattern O&U (125.00)...