FXTM information and reviews
FXTM
93%
IronFX information and reviews
IronFX
92%
Libertex information and reviews
Libertex
91%
ETX Capital information and reviews
ETX Capital
90%
Markets.com information and reviews
Markets.com
89%
FxPro information and reviews
FxPro
88%
EUR/USD
1.1762
BTC/USD
47 554.25
GBP/USD
1.3784
USD/JPY
109.7980
USD/CHF
0.9279
USD/CAD
1.2687
EUR/JPY
129.1441

Pound steady after May defeat


16 January 2019

Investors were thrown onto an emotional rollercoaster ride yesterday evening as Sterling rallied across the board despite Theresa May’s historic Brexit defeat in the House of Commons.

Expectations were initially elevated over the British Pound witnessing downside shocks in the event of May losing by more than 100 votes. However, bulls were clearly in the driver’s seat with the Pound rebounding against the Dollar after the Prime Minister lost by a record margin of 230 votes. A logical explanation behind the appreciation could be based on the fact that the defeat in the Commons was already heavily priced in. With speculation in the air over May’s overwhelming defeat potentially reducing the probability of a no-deal scenario, Sterling is likely to find near-term support, and this was reflected in price action this morning.

It is certainly too early for any celebrations, especially when considering how Theresa May will be facing a vote of no-confidence initiated by Labour this evening. The Pound may find some short-term stability if Prime Minister May is able to survive the no-confidence vote, as this outcome removes some element of uncertainty. A situation where the government loses the vote will be detrimental to the Pound because it increases the likelihood of an early general election. 

The truth of the matter is that uncertainty remains a major theme with the outcome of the no-confidence vote open to question. With the chance of extending Article 50 increasing by the day, growing speculation around Theresa May seeking further concessions from the EU and expectations floating around about a second referendum – Pound volatility is in the cards.

Away from Brexit and politics, the UK inflation report is scheduled to be released this morning with inflation expected to decline 2.1% in December. The market reaction to the inflation report is likely to be muted as investors focus on Brexit.

In regards to the technical picture, the GBPUSD’s trajectory will be heavily dictated by how the no-confidence vote against Theresa May plays out. A technical breakout above 1.2920 is likely to encourage a move higher towards the psychological 1.3000 level.

Dollar fights back… but for how long?


Across the Atlantic, the Dollar fought back against a basket of major currencies with prices trading around 96.00 as of writing.

The upside potential feels limited, especially when considering how the fundamental themes are weighing on the currency still remain present.. Mixed domestic economic data, dovish comments from Fed officials and growing speculation over the central bank taking a pause in monetary policy tightening this year will continue weighing on the Dollar. Investor appetite towards the Greenback is seen diminishing even further if soft economic data questions its safe-haven status. Sellers still have an opportunity to reclaim control if 96.00 proves to be a stubborn resistance level.

Gold searches for spark


It is becoming increasingly clear that Gold is waiting for a fresh catalyst to make its next major move. The yellow metal continues to trade within a range with resistance around $1296 and support at $1280. A breakout above $1296 will open the gates towards the psychological $1300 level and beyond. On the other hand, weakness below $1280 is seen triggering a decline back towards $1272.


Related

Stocks pick up some bid after textbook SP 500 bounce
Stocks pick up some bid after textbook SP 500 bounce

European stock markets were modestly higher on Thursday after a rebound in the US and another dip for Asian equities overnight. Hong Kong down 1.7%...

16 Sep 2021

Stock Futures Trade Lower, Investors Worry About Fed Tapering
Stock Futures Trade Lower, Investors Worry About Fed Tapering

US and European futures are trading lower today, following a retracement in US indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 290 points, wiping out gains...

15 Sep 2021

Futures in the United States and Europe are up today
Futures in the United States and Europe are up today

Futures in the United States and Europe are up today after the Dow managed to gain nearly 260 points and break its five-day losing streak. Although investors...

14 Sep 2021

Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 13-17, 2021
Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for September 13-17, 2021

The ECB meeting on Thursday 09 September went off as expected with no surprises. The interest rate remained unchanged at 0%. The European regulator...

13 Sep 2021

Could rising equity volatility into options expiry spill into other markets?
Could rising equity volatility into options expiry spill into other markets?

While we saw some genuine strength in the Nikkei 225 and to a lesser extent Chinese/HK markets last week, we’ve seen signs that US equity indices are at risk of talking...

13 Sep 2021

Buying the Dow after 4 down days has a 91% win rate
Buying the Dow after 4 down days has a 91% win rate

The highlight has been the ECB meeting, but the volatility was not there and it was a big event for economists. However, not so much for traders, who saw EURUSD...

10 Sep 2021


Editors' Picks

OctaFX information and reviews
OctaFX
86%
HotForex information and reviews
HotForex
85%
XM information and reviews
XM
80%
FXCM information and reviews
FXCM
79%
Vantage FX information and reviews
Vantage FX
78%
Moneta Markets information and reviews
Moneta Markets
77%

© 2006-2021 Forex-Ratings.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information.
Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website (reviews, brokers' news, comments, analysis, quotes, forecasts or other information materials provided by Forex Ratings, as well as information provided by the partners), including graphical information about the forex companies, brokers and dealing desks, is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Forex Ratings shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about the forex companies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the commentators. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.
We use cookies to improve your experience and to make your stay with us more comfortable. By using Forex-Ratings.com website you agree to the cookies policy.