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Can Dollar Index breach 100?


21 February 2020

The Dollar index (DXY) is ever so close to the 100 mark; the last time it breached that psychologically-important mark was in April 2017. A break above 100 would crystalize the golden cross pattern, as its 50-day moving average climbs above its 200-day moving average, confirming the Dollar’s upward trend.

Driven by the risk-aversion in the markets due to the black swan event that is the coronavirus outbreak, coupled with the resilience demonstrated by the US economy, investors had strong reasons to cling to the safety of the Greenback during times of uncertainty.

However, with its 14-day RSI now rising into overbought domain, the DXY could be poised to moderate. Still, considering how tantalizingly close the 100 line is, the Greenback may just have enough fuel in their tank to reach that milestone before the month is over.

Dollar set to be data-driven over coming days


Dollar bulls will have a host of US economic indicators that could be used as stepping stones to send DXY higher over the coming days. Any positive surprises in the incoming data on home sales, manufacturing, and consumer spending, could spur King Dollar onto greater heights.

More Dollar gains should spell more near-term pain for currencies across the G10 and emerging-markets complex. As the biggest component in the Dollar index, the Euro is currently offering little drag on the Dollar and poses little threat to DXY’s 3.5 percent advance so far in 2020.

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