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USDCHF's improvement curbed by cloud and 100-period MA


8 January 2021

USDCHF remains negatively skewed on the four-our chart as the 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) and the Ichimoku cloud capped the pair’s recent bounce from a formed almost 6-year bottom of 0.8757. The Ichimoku lines have become fairly stagnant, promoting frailty in recent positive sentiment. However, the steadfast bearish SMAs continue to dampen the pair’s outlook.

The short-term oscillators are suggesting that the fresh positive drive is losing momentum. The MACD is stalling its ascent above its red trigger line, ahead of the zero mark, while the faltering RSI is struggling to maintain its push into bullish territory. Nonetheless, the rising stochastic %K line has yet to confirm negative pressures as it pushes above the 80 level.

If advances dissolve, sellers may face instant support from the 0.8820 boundary and the Ichimoku lines beneath, in the vicinity of 0.8803. Returning lower, the respective troughs of 0.8773 and 0.8757 may attempt to dismiss further deterioration in the pair. However, should the price dive past this practically 6-year low, the pair may sink towards the support section of 0.8650-0.8677.

Otherwise, if buying interest intensifies, initial upside limitations could develop around the 0.8845-0.8854 zone. Successfully stepping over this could reinforce near-term confidence in the pair, sending it to test the 0.8877 border. If additional gains are realized, the price could then target the area of peaks of 0.8901-0.8918.

Summarizing, USDCHF retains a bearish outlook below the SMAs and the 0.8901-0.8918 section. However, a thrust over the 0.8845-0.8854 obstacle could undermine near-term negative tendencies.

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