FXTM information and reviews
OctaFX information and reviews
XM information and reviews
FXCC information and reviews
Libertex information and reviews
FxPro information and reviews

Rising rates do not threaten gold and could support a rise in price

12 January 2022 Written by Alex Kuptsikevich  FxPro Senior Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich

An active reassessment of the outlook for monetary policy continues in the financial markets, but these changes have so far not moved gold from its position near $1800. The latest gold performance shows that it remains a portfolio diversification instrument, with little correlation to stock indices. Gold has gained for the third consecutive day, almost hitting the $1810 level. Last week the price came under pressure along with stocks, as US government bond yields rose as investors preferred them over precious metals paying no dividends or coupons. Gold also decreased intraday on Monday on a sharp fall in equities.

However, buying on declines towards $1785 is well notable in gold. This is another jump around sustained buying. Previously, the areas of notable buying were $1760 in November and December and $1720 in August and September. Even earlier, in March 2021, gold got strong demand on dips to $1680.

It is important to note that the higher support levels in gold at the end of last year occurred at the same time as the bond yields were rising, so the correlation between these assets is not direct. Historically, gold is vulnerable to rising long-term government bond yields only in case of a massive risk-off in the markets, which we witnessed in the epicentre of the last two global crises in 2008 right after the Lehman bankruptcy and in 2020 in the first weeks of the official pandemic.

If the Fed and other central bankers manage to rein in inflation without causing major market turbulence during the policy normalization period, it could be a good springboard for gold. We have seen a similar example in the last tightening cycle. The first rate hike at the end of 2015 ended a corrective pullback in gold, becoming the starting point for a new six-month-long growth wave.

Now the approach of a rate hike could draw attention to gold as a hedge against declines in growth stocks, which have a high sensitivity to interest rate movements. On the technical analysis side, if a new upside momentum in gold forms, it will lead the path to the $2500-2600 area after a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the August 2018 to August 2020 growth wave.




The Euro rebounded from the low
The Euro rebounded from the low

After updating its multi-year lows again, the major currency pair rebounded. The current quote for the instrument is 0.9656. Last night, the local interest in risks improved a bit, helping the asset to successfully correct...

29 Sep 2022

Gold Shows Signs of Life, But Heads Towards Another Losing Month
Gold Shows Signs of Life, But Heads Towards Another Losing Month

The precious metal is largely considered as a hedge to inflation, but it has not confirmed this status during the current year. It did kick it off with a rally, but as the Fed begun hiking rates back...

28 Sep 2022

Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for September 26-30, 2022
Forex and Cryptocurrencies Forecast for September 26-30, 2022

Last week, all the attention of the markets was focused on the FOMC meeting of the US Federal Reserve, which took place on September 21. The probability of another rate hike by 75 basis points (bp)...

26 Sep 2022

Trading the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Trading the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

The Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 Index measures the market capitalisation of the top 500 US largest corporations. Many traders and investors use the S&P 500 Index as a benchmark...

23 Sep 2022

Gold pauses as traders await Fed decision
Gold pauses as traders await Fed decision

The anticlimactic performance of gold continues as the prospect of aggressive rate hikes by central banks around the world amid heightened inflationary pressures...

21 Sep 2022

Developing a forex trading plan: All you need to know
Developing a forex trading plan: All you need to know

All forex traders have different backgrounds, market views, risk appetite, thought processes and expectations. Therefore, traders should not just blindly follow what other traders do...

20 Sep 2022

Editors' Picks

HFM information and reviews
IronFX information and reviews
FXCM information and reviews
NordFX information and reviews
Vantage information and reviews
FP Markets information and reviews
FP Markets

© 2006-2022 Forex-Ratings.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information.
Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website (reviews, brokers' news, comments, analysis, quotes, forecasts or other information materials provided by Forex Ratings, as well as information provided by the partners), including graphical information about the forex companies, brokers and dealing desks, is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Forex Ratings shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about the forex companies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the commentators. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.
We use cookies to improve your experience and to make your stay with us more comfortable. By using Forex-Ratings.com website you agree to the cookies policy.