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USD rebounds ahead of US inflation


8 February 2022 Written by Andria Pichidi  HF Markets Analyst Andria Pichidi

Treasury yields were mixed inside a narrow range as the market consolidated, coming to grips with the hawkish stance from the FOMC and other core central banks, while they found some support from EGBs. ECB’s Lagarde stressed rate hikes will not begin until after asset purchases are ended.  Trading was also slowed as the CPI report looms Thursday. The front end outperformed slightly as shorts covered, paring some of the selling from Friday. Wall Street was mixed and rather directionless, despite earnings. After finding a small bid into the afternoon, the indexes slumped into the close.  Oil drops on progress in US-Iran talks.

Overnight – ASX outperforming, helped by a jump in iron ore prices, which boosted miners. Talk of more companies being added to the list of companies that may need extra permits to buy from US entities weighed on the Hang Seng in particular and the index is currently down -0.99%.  WTO lets China impose $645 million tariffs on US.

European Open – The March 10-year Bund future is down 8 ticks, slightly outperforming versus Treasury futures, as yields continue to rise in cash markets. Lagarde failed to push back against speculation of an early end to net asset purchases and swift start to rate hikes yesterday and Eurozone peripherals in particular are likely to continue to struggle.

Today – Today’s calendar is thin and should have no impact on expectations. The December trade report is due. The earnings calendar features reports from Pfizer, BP, S&P, Fiserv, Thomson Reuters, Coinbase, Centene, KKR, Chipotle, DuPont, Sysco, Yum! Brands, Transdigm, Cenovus Energy, Warner Music, FleetCor, Incyte, and FMC. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NDZJPY (+0.46%) Rallied to 76.75 retesting the 20 DMA for a 4th day.  MAs aligned however started turning lower, MACD signal line & histogram levelling off but well over 0 line, RSI at 57 in a pullback.

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