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Stock markets rebound, Dollar on standby


6 May 2021

Global equity bulls were back in action on Wednesday, shaking off jitters triggered by China-Taiwan tensions and comments from Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. European markets closed green thanks to encouraging data from Europe while tech shares led a rebound on Wallstreet.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen rattled financial markets yesterday by suggesting that interest rates may need to rise to prevent the US economy from overheating.

The negative reaction witnessed across the equity space laid bare the market sensitivity to inflation expectations. Interestingly, Yellen later clarified that she was not forecasting interest rate hikes – which came as a breath of fresh air to the Technology sector. The Nasdaq 100 has gained over 0.6% this afternoon, while the S%P 500 and Dow Jones have both gained almost 0.5%.

Looking at the technical charts, the Nasdaq turned bearish on the daily timeframe after securing a solid daily close below the 13750 support. If this level transforms into a dynamic resistance, the index could decline towards 13350 – a level just above the 50-day Simple Moving Average. Alternatively, a sharp rebound back above 13750 is likely to trigger a move towards the 14000 regions.

Dollar on standby ahead of NFP 

The Dollar slightly weakened on Wednesday afternoon after the U.S. private payroll data for April missed market expectations. According to the data released by the ADP Research Institute, the USD ADP employment change came in at 742,000 last month. This was below the 850,000 market expectations but still the fastest pace of job creation since September 2020.

Given how the main risk event and potential market shaker remains the US jobs report on Friday, the Dollar could remain on standby. Looking at the technical picture, the Dollar Index (DXY) could challenge 91.80 if a solid daily close above 91.31 is achieved. Should this level prove to be reliable resistance, a decline back towards 91.05 and 90.50 could be on the cards.

Commodity spotlight – Gold 

Gold is trading within a range on the daily charts with layers of support around $1700 - $1765 and resistance at $1800. Although the MACD trades above 0, prices seem to be capped below the 100-day Simple Moving Average. There is a possibility that the precious metal remains rangebound until the US jobs report is published on Friday. Should the Dollar push higher on Thursday, this could inject Gold bears with enough confidence to drag prices below the $1770 - $1765 regions with the first level of interest at $1755.

 

#source

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