FXTM information and reviews
IronFX information and reviews
Libertex information and reviews
FXCC information and reviews
Markets.com information and reviews
FxPro information and reviews
42 648.00

Brent oil awaits OPEC+ decision, NFP may dictate USD's next move

28 June 2021

As we get ready to enter the second half of the year, here are the major events over the coming days that carry enough weight to influence various asset classes:

Monday, June 28

Tuesday, June 29

Wednesday, June 30

Thursday, July 1

Friday, July 2

Commodities spotlight: Brent oil

OPEC+ is set to make another key decision on 1 July: whether or not to pump out more oil in August. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect the cartel to raise their collective output levels by another 550,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August. However, even such a hike is expected to leave global markets in a deficit, which could translate into more upside for oil prices.

As things stand, Brent prices are trading at their highest levels since October 2018. However, judging by its relative strength index, which has crossed the 70 mark to indicate overbought levels, Brent appears ripe for an adjustment in the near-term. Such a pullback would then clear some of the froth to pave the way higher for Brent oil.

However, the uncertainty over the US-Iran nuclear talks still looms over Thursday’s meeting. A US-Iran nuclear deal could see Iran resuming oil exports and upsetting the cartel’s supply plans. It remains to be seen how OPEC+ continues restoring its supplies into the world while taking into account this wildcard.

Still, come Thursday, a smaller-than-expected output hike of fewer than 550,000 barrels per day in August could send Brent prices even higher and closer to the psychologically-important $80/bbl mark.

Strike three for US nonfarm payrolls?

The US nonfarm payrolls has disappointed markets for the past two straight months. As things stand, economists are forecasting 700,000 jobs were added in the US labour market this month. If so, that would the highest NFP print in three months, since the March figures. In the leadup to that tier-1 economic release, this USD index, which is an equally-weighted index comprising 6 major currency pairs, has settled into a more “normal” conditions since pulling back from overbought levels.

However, another lackluster NFP print could give the Fed more runway before having to ease up on its asset purchases, which could prompt the greenback to unwind more of its recent gains and test its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) as the next support level.

Still, the greenback could be jolted by another US jobs shocker this Friday. A June hiring surge in the US could ramp up expectations for the Fed’s tapering once more. Such a narrative could call upon this USD index’s 200-day SMA as a key resistance level once more.



Further recovery in XAU/USD appears elusive but Powell holds the key
Further recovery in XAU/USD appears elusive but Powell holds the key

Gold price rebounds from fresh six-week lows but upside appears limited. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech in focus, FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta reports...

24 Sep 2021

Stocks rise after Fed walks fine line on tapering
Stocks rise after Fed walks fine line on tapering

European markets trading higher after the Fed delivered another lesson in how to gently massage markets into accepting that tightening is on its way. The FTSE 100 has...

23 Sep 2021

Hawkish Fed brings out the bulls as dollar and stocks rise
Hawkish Fed brings out the bulls as dollar and stocks rise

The Federal Reserve took its biggest step yet towards scaling back its pandemic stimulus on Wednesday following the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting...

23 Sep 2021

Trading the BoE and FOMC meetings
Trading the BoE and FOMC meetings

The FOMC and the BoE meeting are firmly in our sights now, and positions and exposures will need to be managed accordingly. Certainly, the FOMC meeting could...

22 Sep 2021

Stocks bounce back after Evergrande panic
Stocks bounce back after Evergrande panic

As investors increasingly liken the Evergrande crisis with the collapse of the Lehman Brothers in 2008, they remain in the dark about the Chinese government's intentions...

21 Sep 2021

Oil Was Put on Hold
Oil Was Put on Hold

The oil price is falling after rallying before. Early in another September week, Brent is trading at $74.50 and has a lot of room to correct. The strong greenback...

20 Sep 2021

Forex Forecasts

OctaFX information and reviews
HotForex information and reviews
XM information and reviews
FXCM information and reviews
Vantage FX information and reviews
Vantage FX
Moneta Markets information and reviews
Moneta Markets

© 2006-2021 Forex-Ratings.com

The usage of this website constitutes acceptance of the following legal information.
Any contracts of financial instruments offered to conclude bear high risks and may result in the full loss of the deposited funds. Prior to making transactions one should get acquainted with the risks to which they relate. All the information featured on the website (reviews, brokers' news, comments, analysis, quotes, forecasts or other information materials provided by Forex Ratings, as well as information provided by the partners), including graphical information about the forex companies, brokers and dealing desks, is intended solely for informational purposes, is not a means of advertising them, and doesn't imply direct instructions for investing. Forex Ratings shall not be liable for any loss, including unlimited loss of funds, which may arise directly or indirectly from the usage of this information. The editorial staff of the website does not bear any responsibility whatsoever for the content of the comments or reviews made by the site users about the forex companies. The entire responsibility for the contents rests with the commentators. Reprint of the materials is available only with the permission of the editorial staff.
We use cookies to improve your experience and to make your stay with us more comfortable. By using Forex-Ratings.com website you agree to the cookies policy.