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February 3, 2017
Signs point to strong labor market ahead of US jobs report
The US jobs report for January is set to be released on Friday morning, just two days after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced its decision to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected. In issuing its statement...
January 18, 2017
Trump Inauguration Market Outlook
Friday, January 20, 2017 will mark the historic inauguration of what promises to be a highly unconventional US presidential administration...
January 10, 2017
Will the Trump Rally extend beyond inauguration?
As the world continues to watch US President-Elect Donald Trump prepare for his January 20th inauguration, key financial markets have already made their views on Trump exceptionally clear. Strong bullish trends in equities and the US dollar have continued virtually unabated since the November election...
December 12, 2016
Crude surges as non-OPEC producers agree oil output cut
Crude oil prices surged a huge $3 dollars or 5% higher at the Asian open with Brent briefly trading north of $57 and WTI above $54 a barrel before pulling back slightly...
November 7, 2016
Could oil end its 5-day losing run?
There are tentative signs that crude oil prices could bounce back today after falling for 5 consecutive and 9 in the past 11 days. As well as oil prices being oversold, bearish speculators may reduce their exposures ahead of the weekend...
November 3, 2016
Crude oil outlook worsens as US inventories soar
The bad news for crude oil began recently after doubts started emerging with regard to a proposed OPEC deal to cut oil production. Partly as a result of these doubts, crude oil prices for the past two weeks have virtually been in a state of free fall...
November 2, 2016
Market jitters abound ahead of Fed, Election
Key financial markets, most notably with respect to equities and the US dollar, have felt increasing pressure and heightened volatility in recent days as several primary risk events draw ever closer...
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October 21, 2016
US Presidential Election: Final Debate Aftermath
With the dust having settled after Wednesday final US presidential debate of the 2016 campaign between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, the results have become rather apparent...
October 13, 2016
US Presidential Election: Potential Market Impacts
As of this writing, the current analysis of the electoral college map is predicting around 273 votes for Clinton against 186 for Trump, with 270 votes required to win the presidency...
September 28, 2016
US presidential debate moves unwind
The market’s initial response to the US presidential election debate overnight was a clear sigh of relief. The Mexican Peso, which had hit a record low against the dollar just the day before, surged higher, as too did the Canadian dollar...
September 27, 2016
Markets start last week of September on the back foot
It hasn't been a great start for global equities in this last week of September, with European indices dropping between 1.0 to 1.5 per cent during Monday’s morning session, mirroring a similar performance in Chinese and Japanese markets overnight...
September 23, 2016
Gold rises to critical level on lower-for-longer policy signals
The price of gold extended its rebound modestly on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve provided some key signals on Wednesday that, despite a considerable probability of one Fed rate hike by the end of this year...
August 24, 2016
Buck to 100 soon?
Yesterday we looked at a long-term chart of the EUR/USD and highlighted the fact that the Fibre was testing a key resistance zone in the 1.1320-65 area (old support, underside of a broken bullish trend and 61.8% Fibonacci level)...
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August 18, 2016
Crude stocks fall more than expected
The official weekly crude oil inventories report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), released this afternoon, has confounded expectations in a positive way and oil prices have correspondingly surged to their best levels since early July...
June 24, 2016
Brexit Outcome Stuns Markets - What Comes Next?
The outcome of Thursday historic EU referendum, in which nearly 52% of UK voters opted to leave the European Union, stunned markets globally in its immediate aftermath on Friday morning...
May 24, 2016
Yen surges on US warnings
During the gathering of central bankers and finance ministers at the G7 meetings in Japan on Saturday, the US reiterated warnings to its host against intervening to weaken the yen. In the weeks prior to the meetings...
May 20, 2016
Fed-inspired volatility a silver lining for precious metals
Gold and silver prices have taken a big plunge on the back of falling bond prices and rallying US dollar since the release of the FOMC’s last policy meeting minutes on Wednesday and the accompanying hawkish commentary from several Fed officials...
May 13, 2016
Crude oil uptrend has reached critical resistance
This week has seen a renewed upsurge for crude oil prices sparked by several unexpected events and news that have helped alleviate ongoing oversupply concerns, at least temporarily...
May 12, 2016
Has EUR/USD resumed its upward trend?
The EUR/USD has finally ended a run of six consecutive down days. So, is it about to resume its recent upward trend? Well, this will depend to some degree on the outcome of the upcoming data releases...
May 11, 2016
Will Japan intervention warnings successfully restrain yen strength
Japanese government officials have been at it again, issuing ominous warnings this week concerning the country’s preparedness to intervene in its objective to weaken the recently strengthening yen...
May 6, 2016
Brexit concerns dent business confidence
The pound has suffered a hat-trick of bad news this week as the latest Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) for all three major sectors of the UK economy disappointed expectations...

May 4, 2016
Crude oil slumps
This may be a dreaded month for the equity market investors and so far it is proving that way due to some really disappointing corporate earnings results, but crude oil is having an equally frightening start too...
April 29, 2016
Dollar resumes slide on weak data, cautious Fed
After the Federal Reserve kept US interest rates unchanged as expected on Wednesday and reiterated its consistently cautious stance with regard to future rate increases...
April 22, 2016
Precious metals surge
Precious metals are surging across the board, with silver and now platinum looking particularly bullish. As we reported on Tuesday, the pressure has been building for precious metals like silver to explode higher in recent months...
April 14, 2016
Crude may struggle to rise further
The long wait for the much-anticipated Russia-OPEC meeting is almost over. The general feeling is that an agreement will be reached on Sunday in Doha to freeze oil production at January’s levels, with or without Iran participation...
April 1, 2016
NFP Prep: The fog of war is thicker than usual
The March Non-Farm Payroll report will be released tomorrow at 8:30 EST (13:30 GMT) with expectations centered on a headline print of 206 after last month’s strong 242k reading...
March 29, 2016
US data paints a downbeat outlook for near-term growth
It has been an exceedingly slow start to the week with most of Europe out of the office for an extended holiday weekend, but trade is starting to pick up modestly heading into the US session...
March 24, 2016
WTI crude drops to $40 as oil stocks jump
WTI crude oil fell on the back of data from the US Department of Energy which showed US oil stockpiles rose by a sharp 9.4 million barrels last week. This more or less confirmed the data that was released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) the night before...
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March 22, 2016
Commodities consolidate after a strong week
Crude oil, copper and to a lesser degree precious metal prices have all rallied at various points this past week. It will be interesting to see if their good run of form will continue in the new week...
March 17, 2016
FOMC Recap: Doves flying high as Fed drops two dots
As we noted in yesterdays FOMC Preview report, any Fed fireworks wouldnt come from the monetary policy decisionper se, but rather how today meeting shaped the conversation around the timing of the next rate hike in the coming months...
March 16, 2016
Crude drops as rally runs out of fuel
Oil prices have retreated sharply at the start of this week, with Brent dipping back towards $38 and WTI to $36 a barrel, thus giving back a good chunk of their recent gains. Recently, sentiment on the oil market had turned positive on realisation that the significantly lower oil prices had boosted demand...