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February 7, 2017
EUR to fall 10%?
We’ve presented two bearish views on the EUR (including our own and the one from DB). JPMorgan Chase is also bearish on the currency...
February 2, 2017
BoE Super Thursday - what to expect?
It's a double Super Thursday for the GBP today. A typical Super Thursday is when the Bank of England releases its decision, minutes and projection inflation and all the releases are followed by the press conference from Mark Carney...
January 17, 2017
Oil spikes higher on Saudi Oil minister comments
Oil has spiked higher on Al Falih comments in Davos (Saudi oil minister). He said during a panel discussion at WEF in Davos that there will be inflation in the cost of doing business in the oil industry, following the squeeze that accompanied the decline in crude prices...
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January 16, 2017
GBP under pressure ahead of May speech
A speech from Theresa May is one of the key events for financial markets this week and certainly the most relevant for the British pound. Primie Minister is about to deliver a speech on UK’s stance and conditions ahead of the triggering article 50 and beginning the Brexit negotiations...
January 13, 2017
Yellen (Fed) with a neutral message but USD starts to fight back
USD was taking damage from the Wednesday Donald Trump specch until yesterday evening. Lack of details on economic and fiscal agenda at the first press conference of the president-elect caused a correction on equities boosted since the US elections...
December 28, 2016
Santa Claus rally begins
The FTSE 100 is higher by a little more than 20 points at the time of writing as the so-called Santa Claus rally appears to have begun. Observers of the markets have for many years noticed a strong propensity for stocks to rise in the period between Christmas...
December 23, 2016
More on the morning data
Today calendar is relatively light, although some interesting figures were and are due. Morning has begun with a Chinese data, and the European session was commenced by the data from both Germany and France...
December 22, 2016
Fx moves on strong data (SEK) and words (EUR)
The releases in Canada and the USA coming this afternoon qualify as key market drivers of the week as we pointed out on Monday. The first part of the day was also interesting from the fx perspective despite the pre-holidays mood settling in...
December 21, 2016
Will oil move above the previous peak?
Oil prices are moving higher today and we are already at the previous peak before Libya announced its plans to add around 270 thousand barrels per day to the pace at which it extracts the commodity in 1Q...
December 9, 2016
Coeure - ECB ready to do more
ECB board member Benoit Coeure commented the yesterday decision in a radio interview. The central bank announced QE tapering stressing that it does not mean less engagement...
November 28, 2016
ECB speeches, OPEC rumours to dominate Monday
The US is back to the markets in full swing today as investors return from the long weekend and while this may have a major impact on the markets (given the fact that US bonds and US dollar had such a massive influence on global markets recently) other factors dominate in the calendar with the US being present...
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November 24, 2016
Can the FOMC deliver USD-positive surprise?
With the EURUSD testing multi-year lows and USDJPY surging above 113 the US dollar index is at the level not seen since 2002. A pace of recent appreciation has been really strong so many investors wonder if the Fed...
November 22, 2016
PBoC lifts the yuan
PBoC wa consequently moving the yuan fixing lower in the last 13 days. While this was not sending markets into a risk-off spin it was seen as a sign of pressure caused by capital outflows. But today the yuan was set at a stronger level...