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Year-end FX recap: Will King Dollar’s reign end in 2016

After rocketing higher by over 10% in the first three months of the year, the US dollar index cooled off for the last three quarters, generally holding its ground below the 100 level over that period...

Gold: Another year of Fed watching on tap

The traditional wisdom is that gold tends to fall when interest rates rise because higher interest rates tend to boost the US dollar (in which gold is denominated) and increase the appeal of alternative investments such as bonds...

FOMC Instant Reaction: A Not-So-Dovish Hike

Yesterday, we published our preview for today Federal Reserve meeting, highlighting five things for traders to evaluate in their Fed-mas lists. For consistency, we will recap each of those five factors in turn, as well as what they may mean for traders...

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FOMC Preview: The Fed Christmas list

For the typically lackluster mid-December time period, most major markets are still relatively liquid and volatile, and traders continued engagement can be chalked up almost entirely to tomorrow landmark FOMC decision...

Gold: Will the rally cross 1100?

Right as gold bears were doing victory laps, everyone favorite yellow metal has staged a big comeback over the last two days. Gold ticked down to a low of 1046 ahead of yesterday’s big ECB meeting...

ECB Preview: Will Saint Draghi bring a present to expectant bears

After a series of dovish signals over the last few weeks, the key question is how, not if, the ECB will ease policy tomorrow; traders are expecting the ECB to be extremely accommodative tomorrow; in fact, pinning down the market exact expectations will be critical to the reaction in the euro...


Crude, commodities stabilise; outlook remains bleak

Commodity prices have been more stable since Wednesday. Gold is now up for the third consecutive day, copper has halted its decline and oil is trading sideways. While gold has been underpinned by a slightly weaker dollar due to growing expectations of a so-called dovish rate hike from the Fed...

DAX higher as Draghi's press conference looms

European equity markets are trading mixed following a weaker close on Wall Street last night, where stocks ended near their lows. Similarly, Asian Pacific markets ended mixed overnight with China rebounding and Japan closing lower...

S&P 500 set for positive start on last day of bad quarter

European and UK stocks are trading sharply higher on this last day of what has been a bad third quarter, raising suspicion that the markets may be rising because of window dressing...

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Risk appetite dealt another blow by weak Chinese data

Another bout of downbeat Chinese economic numbers soured the mood in the Asia. China’s trade data for August cast doubt about the overall health of economy, with both imports and exports falling for the second month in a row...

Investor sentiment teeters on a knife-edge

It has been a choppy day for equity markets in Asia, with mixed results. China and Hong Kong are offline today, creating thin conditions and leaving investors without a major gauge of overall investor sentiment...

RBA hold fires amidst deteriorating investor sentiment

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the official cash rate at 2.00% as expected, but kept its options open. It noted that in current circumstances monetary policy needs to be accommodative, but refrained from hinting that more cuts may be on the way...


NZDUSD hits support after dismal NZ business confidence data

The kiwi has been assaulted by bears amidst a risk-off tone in the market and following the release of softer than expected business confidence data. Investor sentiment took a turn for the worst at the beginning of the Asia session due to news out of China that Beijing will stop directly buying up shares...

Bargain hunters save most of Asia’s equity markets, for now

It has been an interesting day in the markets, with most equity markets outside of China erasing all of their opening losses as bargain hunters see some value. The ASX 200, the Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng all managed to climb back into the black, with the former up around 3% at one stage...

Asia bloodbath

Bears have mauled risk assets in Asia, with commodities, equities and commodity-backed currencies falling victim to the risk-adverse sentiment in the market. The global panic was sparked by fears about the health of China all-important economy after persistent weakness in recent economic numbers and extreme volatility in its stock market...

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Bulls are rushing to EURAUD

The euro is being propelled higher as investors shed the US dollar as they push out expectations for tighter monetary policy in the US. Also, there’s some speculation that the common currency is benefiting from a reversal of the carry trade, as investors look to low risk assets...

China bears resume mauling stocks, Beijing steps in

It has been a horrid start to the week for China’s equity markets as the market doubts the ability of Beijing to prevent a rout. The Shanghai Composite recorded its second largest sell-off in history on Monday, despite recent moves from Beijing to prevent such an event from happening...

RMB is under pressure ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting

There’s some downward pressure building on the yuan ahead of this week’s meeting at the FOMC. USDCNY is hovering somewhat close to the ceiling set by the PBOC’s placement of the reference rate and the spread between offshore and onshore yuan...


GBPAUDs upward march continues

With the imminent threat of a Grexit dissipating, yield disparities are back in focus and dominating the FX market. This makes currencies with hawkish central bank backing an attractive option for investors, like the GBP...

Gold selling unlikely to be over just yet

Precious metals have stabilised a little after Monday’s vicious bear onslaught, which saw gold drop by a huge $45 in the space of a few minutes during the Asian session. That was apparently sparked by large sell volumes on the gold exchange in Shanghai...

Investor sentiment is being bolstered by a reversal of fortunes for Chinese equities

Investors in Asia are cheering as bargain hunters lead a reversal of fortunes for Chinese equities, with the Shanghai Composite up around 5% at the time of writing after dropping approximately 3.2% at the open and around 32% in the last month...


Crude: all eyes on Iran

Yet again, crude failed to move higher in response to news of a sharper-than-expected draw of 4.9 million barrels in US oil stocks in midweek. It appears as though investors are growing worried about the possibility of Iran flooding the already-saturated global oil market soon...

AUDNZDs incredible rally reaches 1.1300

AUDNZDs comeback story is that of an underdog currency fighting against what was once a frontrunner. Not long ago the Australia dollar came under extreme pressure due to a progressive lowering of interest rates in Australia...

ASX 200: it’s all about Greece right now

Most major equity markets are in the black in Asia, with the notable exception of those in China that continue to face panicked selling after the retail dominated Shanghai Composite witnessed its worst week since the GFC...


GBPNZD: the ultimate rally

It has been an incredible couple of months for GBPNZD, underpinned by an almost complete reversal in monetary policy expectations for the UK and NZ. It wasn’t long ago that Andy Haldane, chief economist at the Bank of England, suggested that the bank may have to cut interest rates in response to soft inflation...

EURNZD: how quickly things can change

It’s a quiet final session for the week in Asia, although the kiwi has been able to claw back some lost ground against the euro and US dollar. Though todays messily gains for the commodity currency havent made much of dent in EURNZDs massive six-week rally

GBP/USD down but not out (yet)

The GBP/USD has relinquished about 50% of the sharp gains made in the prior session. Sterling fell across the board this morning on news that activity in the dominant UK services sector slowed down in May from an eight-month high in April...


Japan mixed trade numbers and Yellen lift USDJPY

Its been a relatively quiet start to the week in Asia, at least when compared with all the action in the North American session on Friday...

GBPNZD: up, up and…

It has been a very eventful session for the kiwi, with NZDUSD falling around 1.4%. Widespread risk-off sentiment and an increasingly...

NZDUSD is about to run a gauntlet of data and central bankers

NZDUSD has been in a broad upward trend for most of the year, but it still hasn’t retraced a massive sell-off in January. At...


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