Tickmill Market Analysis

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February 23, 2017
Will the UK go through a migration shock?
The plan successfully passed through the upper chamber and is now going to the committee stage where it’s likely to be amended to warrant better relations with the EU...
February 7, 2017
Oil prices advance on Iran sanctions
ECB Draghi is to address the parliament today and investors will be waiting for any hints on changes in the monetary policy. On the press-conference during the last ECB meeting the future seemed quite downbeat on the EU economic growth, while leaving QE without revisions...
February 2, 2017
Heat from EUR, NZD and XAG
The time has come to sell the Euro. The main scenario includes a pullback and testing the level 1.0764 with a further drop up towards the level 1.0659. Although, a drop may keep extending even further...
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February 1, 2017
U.S. shale production is filling up the gap
Bank of Japan stood pat on the meeting leaving the short-term and long-term policy rates unchanged at -0.1% and 0.0% respectively. BoJ head Kuroda is yet to clarify the further steps on pumping money into the Japanese economy at the press conference aimed towards stimulating the consumer spending and inflation...
January 17, 2017
Trump's inauguration and May's speech to shape up the markets this week
Markets started the week with no sharp changes and lower trading volumes, due to the Martin Luther King Day in the US, ahead of the crucial monetary policy decisions of the ECB and BoC...
January 6, 2017
FOMC Minutes release failed to surprise the markets
The rally of the American currency fizzles out, as FOMC Minutes release failed to surprise the markets. In the December´s speech Yellen emphasized the importance for the FED to keep pace with possible economic expansions during Trumps presidency...
December 22, 2016
Dollar is dominating the market
The Dollar trades with a little change against other major currencies, sticking near the 14-year highs along with the spike in risk aversion after the tragic events of Monday and the positive rate hike expectations for the US next year...
December 21, 2016
BOJ is moving towards a recovery
The currency rose by 0.28% to 103.36 level, as BoJ kept the rates at a record-low level while Yellen’s speech fuelled hopes for an accelerated tightening in the next year. The EUR/USD cut through the 1.04 level trading near the support of 1.0380, while the British Pound declined below the 1.24 level...
December 13, 2016
Oil passed 2015 benchmark
The oil prices jump 5% on Monday as the Non-OPEC countries settle on a deal to cut the output by 558K barrels. Russia commits to slash production by 300K barrels/day, which is more than half of the current production. Gains on both benchmarks are past 5% rising to the levels of July 2015...
November 28, 2016
Oil charts are signifying a drop
The cross-pairs rate is approaching the broken ascending channel and the horizontal level of 1.0160. To sell the pair, we should wait for the candlestick pattern to form...
November 24, 2016
The US Dollar keeps conquering
We start off with the Dollar, as it is breaking the daily/weekly ascending channel: Now, we should consider the scenario where the instrument starts forming candlestick patterns (such as dojis or shooting star) in the 4-hour time frame. Then start selling the pair...
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November 15, 2016
The Dollar has been made great again
The Dollar index consolidates near a 100 level. The main driver of the US equities is the rate hike hope that just climbed to over 90%, as Trump pledges to revitalise economy with an extensive fiscal stimulus...
November 7, 2016
Skepticism about OPEC agreement rises
Ali Al-Naimi, the former oil minister of Saudi Arabia, expressed skepticism in London about the likelihood of achieving an effective agreement to curb the output in the OPEC meeting this November...
October 28, 2016
OPEC is ready to formally seal the output
The crude oil gains as the Algerian Energy Minister Noureddine Butarfa hit the market with a statement saying that OPEC has a plan to complete the formal part of the output freeze agreement in the next meeting...
October 27, 2016
The ascending of the indices
As for the Australian index AUS200, we are yet again approaching the ascending channel. We should wait for the candlestick patterns to appear and try to buy the assets then...
October 20, 2016
Markets want a hike
The market is getting very anxious, as everybody is waiting for the FED to increase the interest rates. This makes the currency swing from one extreme to another...
September 9, 2016
Crude Oil advance on upbeat API update
Crude Oil started Thursday on an upbeat note due to the API weekly report signaling about a sizzling drawdown in commercial US stockpiles and gyrating rumors that Oil producers will soon hit a deal on output cap...
August 25, 2016
The odds for a December rate hike skyrocket by 50%
The US Dollar rose slightly on Wednesday, still lagging behind the rate hike odds which are already past 50% futures on the FED Funds rate for Decembers show. The Greenback index rose by 0.13% as of 10:31 GMT time posting the biggest advances against the European currency...
August 10, 2016
Dollar looks upbeat as the Pound struggles
The British pound remains tamed as it is falling below the 1.30 level during the Asian session on Tuesday. Following the gloomy UK, manufacturing and trade balance reports the decline in the performance is visible...
February 1, 2016
FOMC left the rate unchanged, WTI responds with a hike
A decision on federal funds rate was supposed to be taken at yesterday FOMC meeting, which was held on a cautious note. The liftoff was postponed as expected...
January 26, 2016
WTI hits $ 32.74, Asian stocks rally on ECB March QE promise
Oil futures have rebound from the 12-year low during the Monday session. The cold snap in the U.S. and a substantial cut in bearish positions have both worked as an upward propeller for the prices...
January 22, 2016
USD/RUB surges over the 85 level, China fails to support its stocks market
$25 for a barrel of WTI does not appear so fantastic anymore. Investors speculations multiplied by a continuously increasing market surplus make Oil hit new record lows. Bearish sentiments dominated on Wednesday with WTI breaking the $27 level reaching 26.55 low and Brent touching the $27.10 level...
January 15, 2016
$30 level seems to be broken: WTI heads towards $25
Oil prices fell below $30 on Friday after a 2% surge on Thursday as investors expect that supply of Iranian Oil to the world market will further worsen the surplus...
January 14, 2016
Euro shows distinctive bearish intentions
There is a bear flag forming for the Euro - a long canvas attached to the shaft (white candle). We will be buying the pair upon the breakage on the pullback...
January 12, 2016
Oil prices burst a level, while ShComp shows moderate gains
Oil prices keep their ordinary bearish routine breaking the last barricade of $31/bbl. before reaching an important $30 level. WTIplunged as low as $30.41 currently hovering in a range of $30.50 - $30.60. In only 10 days...
January 11, 2016
WTI weighs anchor as CFTC shows significant cut in bullish bets
Stock markets in Asia are extending their diving ahead of important economic releases in the region and Tokyo Exchange is closed on holiday today. The S&P index is down 1.95%, ASX 200 shows the same drop and the main indicator of Chinese economic health...
January 4, 2016
Oil prices rally, touch-and-go assets show decrease
The elimination of the prominent Shiah Leader in Saudi Arabia, Al-Nimr, triggered off a collision between Sunni and Shiah Islamic worlds. It also granted a chance for Oil bulls to effectively turn the event in their favor resulting in the commodity gains for two consecutive days...
May 25, 2015
EUR/USD are at it again
The Euro has been falling for almost a week now. The catalyst for the fall was Benoît Cœuré’s , (member of the Executive Board of the ECB) hints that the central bank may expand its stimulus package already next month...
February 24, 2017
Gold surges to major $1250 resistance as uncertainty prevails
Gold surged Thursday on a breakout of its previous consolidation to hit and slightly exceed major technical resistance at $1250, a level not seen since early November...
February 24, 2017
Dollar falls as peso and gold rally
The U.S. dollar was the weakest currency yesterday as surprisingly, the Mexican peso rallied, rising 1.22% over the day against the greenback...
February 23, 2017
U.S. dollar muted to Fed minutes
The U.S. dollar index was flat yesterday after the Federal Reserve published the meeting minutes from the January 31 -February 1 monetary policy meeting...