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Tesla Shares Set to Decline on Disappointing Earnings, But a Bullish Turnaround May Be Imminent


25 January 2024 Written by Stephane Dubois  Senior Market Analyst Stephane Dubois

Tesla's Stock Braces for a Dip Amidst Lackluster Q4 Earnings Report . Key Levels to Watch: October’s Low and Oversold Market Conditions. Tesla's stock concluded Wednesday's trading session with a downturn, yet it managed to hold its ground above the pivotal 206 mark. This level has played a crucial role in balancing the stock's fluctuations, acting as a barrier to both upward and downward movements for the past four years.

The onset of the current bearish trend was marked by the bulls' inability to overcome a significant resistance point. This resistance was originally a support line starting from January 2023, and it transformed into a formidable obstacle following its breach. Additionally, the bulls failed twice to break through the long-standing resistance trendline originating from Tesla's peak in 2021 – most recently at the end of December 2023.

The unveiling of Tesla's underwhelming fourth-quarter earnings after market close now poses a risk of further devaluation. Attention is now turning towards the low experienced in October, pegged at 193.86. Should the bearish sentiment continue to disregard this threshold, there's potential for a steep decline towards the 175.30 area. Conversely, for a bullish resurgence, the stock needs to overcome the exponential moving averages (EMAs) situated in the 225-235 zone. Surpassing this barrier would set the stage for an encounter with the long-term descending trendline at 250. The bulls’ journey doesn't stop there; they would need to exceed the previous high of 264 to challenge the ascending resistance line at 273.

Tesla Shares Set to Decline on Disappointing Earnings, But a Bullish Turnaround May Be Imminent

Current indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the stochastic oscillator, signal that the market is navigating through oversold territory. This suggests that a reversal to the upside might be on the horizon. In summary, while Tesla's stock is poised for an immediate extension of its bearish cycle, the oversold market conditions hint at a potential bullish intervention. This could lead to a rebound in the stock's value, offering a glimmer of hope to investors.

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