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Forex Analysis – Technical and Fundamental Analysis


Forex fundamental analysis studies price movements and changes in the exchange rates in the macroeconomic aspect. This analysis is supposed to answer the main question of any trader: which currency pair is worth choosing to trade, particularly from the long-term prospect point of view. The biggest difference between fundamental forex analysis and technical forex analysis is that the first one is based on the following thesis: the prices on fx market are the reflection of supply & demand, which in their turn depend on the fundamental economy factors. Generally the aim of such analysis is to comprehend and estimate the overall state of the global economy as well as to analyze the economy of the country the financial instruments of which you plan to work with.

Is There a Silver Lining for the Euro Amidst Prevailing Bearish Winds?
Is There a Silver Lining for the Euro Amidst Prevailing Bearish Winds?

Friday's American trading session bore witness to the EUR/USD pair's mercurial nature. Despite early indications of a rebound, the currency pair slipped beneath the 1.0600 mark...

3 Oct 2023

King dollar returns as US yields rip higher
King dollar returns as US yields rip higher

King dollar has returned to rule over FX markets. The world’s reserve currency has staged a phenomenal rally in recent months, empowered by the stunning rise in US yields, solid economic fundamentals...

3 Oct 2023

Gold sinks amid stronger dollar and rising yields
Gold sinks amid stronger dollar and rising yields

The final quarter of the year begins with familiar themes in global markets. A relentless rally in US bond yields driven by increased debt supply, renewed concerns about China’s economic health..

2 Oct 2023

Antipodeans: Scrutinizing Market Conditions as September Concludes
Antipodeans: Scrutinizing Market Conditions as September Concludes

Major stock market indices in the Asia-Pacific region predominantly signaled a decline on Thursday, with stakeholders avidly awaiting updates on Japan’s inflation...

29 Sep 2023

GBPJPY Experiences Consolidation: An In-Depth Analysis
GBPJPY Experiences Consolidation: An In-Depth Analysis

The GBPJPY pair experienced a noteworthy slide below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) last week, a development that unfolded in the wake of the Bank of England’s...

29 Sep 2023

Dollar pulls back, some relief for stocks after dreadful quarter
Dollar pulls back, some relief for stocks after dreadful quarter

Bond yields slipped on Friday as ‘higher for longer’ bets took a step back on the last trading day of the quarter ahead of some key inflation and consumer spending data out of the United States...

29 Sep 2023

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Gold in Precipitous Decline Under $1,900: A Prelude to a Rebound?
Gold in Precipitous Decline Under $1,900: A Prelude to a Rebound?

Gold, symbolizing both wealth and security, has witnessed a tumultuous retreat, falling beneath the pivotal $1,900 mark, reflecting a nadir not seen in the preceding month...

28 Sep 2023

Yen gets closer to 150-per-dollar level, oil skyrockets
Yen gets closer to 150-per-dollar level, oil skyrockets

The US dollar continued marching north against all but one of the other major currencies on Wednesday, gaining the most against the euro and losing only versus the Canadian dollar...

28 Sep 2023

Fed's "higher for longer" fuels dollar, yen flirts with intervention
Fed's "higher for longer" fuels dollar, yen flirts with intervention

The dollar traded higher against all the other major currencies on Tuesday and continued trading on the front foot today as well, with the dollar index hitting a fresh 10-month high...

27 Sep 2023

Dollar Poised for Further Growth: Key Factors in Play
Dollar Poised for Further Growth: Key Factors in Play

The US dollar index (DXY) is inching closer to resistance at the 106.00 level. This ascent is underpinned by robust data indicating strength in both the US manufacturing and services sectors, a report released on Friday...

26 Sep 2023

Dollar at 10-month high as yields keep surging
Dollar at 10-month high as yields keep surging

The selloff in bond markets is showing no sign of easing as investors are dumping government securities in favour of cash amid expectations that interest rates in the US may yet rise further...

26 Sep 2023

Fragile sentiment after weak PMIs, higher for longer message
Fragile sentiment after weak PMIs, higher for longer message

Mood sours amid hawkish Fed, recession fears and US shutdown risk; Stocks mixed after last week’s losses as bond yields near cycle highs; Dollar holds firm as yen under pressure after dovish Ueda

25 Sep 2023

Stocks roll over as US yields climb to new highs
Stocks roll over as US yields climb to new highs

The storm in US bond markets has evolved into a hurricane, inflicting deep wounds on riskier assets such as stocks. Yields on US government bonds have gone ballistic, with the yield on ten-year notes hitting a fresh cycle high of 4.50% earlier today...

22 Sep 2023

Hawkish Fed boosts the dollar, BoE and BoJ next
Hawkish Fed boosts the dollar, BoE and BoJ next

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged yesterday, as widely expected, but revised its economic forecasts and interest rate projections higher. Reflecting the recent flow of resilient US data releases...

21 Sep 2023

Fed rate decision enters the spotlight
Fed rate decision enters the spotlight

The dollar continued trading in a cautious manner, gaining some ground only against the yen and the franc, while losing the most versus the risk-linked aussie, kiwi, and loonie...

20 Sep 2023

Euro gains on ECB remarks; dollar awaits Fed decision
Euro gains on ECB remarks; dollar awaits Fed decision

The euro extended its recovery against its US counterpart on Monday, bolstered by more relatively hawkish ECB rhetoric. Just a day after the ECB’s decision was interpreted as hinting at the end of this tightening crusade...

19 Sep 2023

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Oil prices keep rising despite stock market turmoil
Oil prices keep rising despite stock market turmoil

A pivotal week for global markets kicks off with another sharp spike in oil prices. The non-stop rally has seen WTI crude prices rise more than 30% this quarter...

18 Sep 2023

Euro skids after ECB hike, China data lifts sentiment
Euro skids after ECB hike, China data lifts sentiment

The European Central Bank raised its key lending rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, taking some investors by surprise amid a split within the Governing Council heading into the meeting...

15 Sep 2023

Euro in the spotlight ahead of ECB decision
Euro in the spotlight ahead of ECB decision

Today's focal point lies in the European Central Bank's decision, with markets assigning a 65% probability to a rate hike. Despite leading indicators hinting at the Eurozone...

14 Sep 2023

Cautious trading ahead of US inflation report
Cautious trading ahead of US inflation report

Traders are locked and loaded for another edition of US inflation data today. Markets have concluded that the Fed won’t raise rates next week and this report is unlikely to change this notion...

13 Sep 2023

Stocks perk up ahead of US CPI and ECB tests, dollar resumes climb
Stocks perk up ahead of US CPI and ECB tests, dollar resumes climb

Markets remained in a cautiously risk-on mode on Tuesday as hopes that China’s economic meltdown is stabilizing and that central banks are nearing the end of their tightening...

12 Sep 2023

Yen Soars on Ueda's Hawkish Stance, Dollar Eases Before Upcoming US CPI Data
Yen Soars on Ueda's Hawkish Stance, Dollar Eases Before Upcoming US CPI Data

On Monday, the Japanese yen experienced a significant boost, surging against all its major counterparts. This was following remarks made by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda...

11 Sep 2023

Trade risks nerves send stock markets lower
Trade risks nerves send stock markets lower

The specter of the Sino-American trade risks returned to haunt global markets this week, putting another risk on the radar screen of investors that are already grappling with signs of a global economic slowdown and elevated interest rates...

8 Sep 2023

ISM non-mfg PMI highlights resilience of US economy
ISM non-mfg PMI highlights resilience of US economy

The US dollar ended Wednesday virtually unchanged against most of the other major currencies, gaining decent ground only against the pound and the franc. The greenback got a strong boost after the ISM non-manufacturing...

7 Sep 2023

Falling yen draws intervention warning, ISM non-mfg PMI in focus
Falling yen draws intervention warning, ISM non-mfg PMI in focus

The US dollar traded higher against all the other major currencies on Tuesday, perhaps as increasing concerns about the performance of the Chinese economy after the disappointing Caixin...

6 Sep 2023

Yen suffers another blow as yields fire up
Yen suffers another blow as yields fire up

The US dollar resumed its march higher on Tuesday, receiving fuel from interest rate differentials and safe haven flows. Bond market players have started to push US yields higher once again...

5 Sep 2023

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Dollar gains after US jobs data, China stimulus lifts oil
Dollar gains after US jobs data, China stimulus lifts oil

An unexpectedly soft US employment report could not hold down the US dollar on Friday. While nonfarm payrolls slightly exceeded forecasts in August...

4 Sep 2023

Calm ahead of US jobs report as markets pin hopes on cool-off
Calm ahead of US jobs report as markets pin hopes on cool-off

It’s been a week of ‘bad news is good news’ for the markets as investors ramped up their bets that rates in the US have peaked following a slew of soft data suggesting that Fed tightening...

1 Sep 2023

Euro pulls back despite CPI beat as dollar braces for more US data
Euro pulls back despite CPI beat as dollar braces for more US data

Expectations of further tightening by the Fed diminished further on Wednesday after more data pointed to a slowing economy in the United States. Hot on the heels of Tuesday’s unexpected drops in job openings...

31 Aug 2023

Dollar falls as US data reinforce Fed pause case
Dollar falls as US data reinforce Fed pause case

The US dollar tumbled against all the other major currencies on Tuesday and Treasury yields extended their retreat after data showed that job openings in the US fell in July...

30 Aug 2023


Forex Forecasts

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